#Strategy加仓BTC $BTC has shown a clear short-selling signal around 96000, and the bulls' strength is indeed weakening.

In the past two days, the price has repeatedly tested below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands at 96067, with bulls and bears fighting fiercely at this level. However, from a technical perspective, the advantage is increasingly with the bears.

The middle band of the Bollinger Bands is under heavy pressure, and the upper band at 97318 has formed a very hard ceiling. The MACD indicator's DIF line has been pressed below the DEA line, and the green bars are continuously expanding, which is a typical confirmation of a bearish trend. The K-line's rebounds are repeatedly pushed back, and each attempt to rally is weakening—this is a sign of bullish fatigue.

If you want to participate in this decline, the 96000 level can be considered as an entry point. The first target is 94800, and if it breaks, the second target is 93500. For stop-loss, placing it above 97300 is safer. This gives a stop-loss range of 1300 points, with a target profit of 1200 to 2500 points. From a risk-reward perspective, this is acceptable.

But here’s a key point: if the price unexpectedly breaks above 97500 and stabilizes, it indicates that our bearish judgment might be wrong. At this point, an immediate reverse stop-loss is necessary. Market volatility is so high that position sizes must be controlled, ideally within 5%, and stop-loss orders should be set properly—don’t hold on to losing positions.

In crypto trading, honestly, the biggest test is not technical analysis but discipline. The market is always right; what we need to do is identify the trend and follow it. Currently, the bearish signals are very clear, and around 96000 is indeed a good shorting opportunity. But remember one thing—risk control always comes first. No matter how perfect the technical analysis, without risk management awareness, it’s all useless.