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The 2026 financial and political drama was truly eye-opening. Trump initially aimed to pressure the Federal Reserve Chair Powell through legal means to step down during his term, paving the way for easier rate cuts. Instead, he inadvertently boosted Powell's market confidence.
The entire event unfolded like a plot twist. Trump used the "building renovation" investigation to attack Powell, trying to create public pressure before the election. However, Powell's firm response—an intense late-night video clip—went viral online. Even more dramatic, members of both parties and three former Fed chairs came out in support, forming an unprecedented consensus. The market initially expected a high probability of Powell leaving in May, but the situation reversed, and calls for him to stay until 2028 became the hottest topic.
The most ironic turn involved high-level personnel changes. The dovish candidate Trump pushed for, Haskett, was eliminated, while the hawkish Wosh surged to the top of the support rankings, becoming the new favorite. All of this demonstrates that political pressure on the Federal Reserve's independence is completely counterproductive.
Market reactions offered clues. The dollar plummeted in the short term, with investors' risk aversion soaring. Gold continued to surge, becoming the safest asset in capital markets. Expectations for rate cuts cooled significantly, and the market began to rely more on data—inflation and employment figures are now the key factors influencing policy.
For crypto investors, the most important points are: First, stop betting on policy easing. The Fed's current stance is clear—rate cut pace depends entirely on data, not political pressure. Second, safe-haven assets remain popular; gold and short-term bonds are preferred allocations. Third, defensive sectors will continue to be favored, and high-leverage operations are too risky in this environment.
This farce reveals a core truth: central bank independence is the market's stabilizer. Any political interference ultimately fails. As long as the Fed remains steady, the global financial markets will have a backbone. Moving forward, keep a close eye on inflation data and Powell's subsequent statements—these signals are enough to guide market direction. Even with volatility in the crypto space, it’s just a natural reaction to the institutional trend. Monitoring the performance of leading assets like BTC, ETH, and BNB often provides early insights into market rhythm shifts.