The recent drama has indeed been quite intense. The market was originally betting on Powell resigning before May, with the probability once reaching 70%, but a judicial subpoena changed the situation, and this guy's seat became even more secure. The probability of resignation before the end of the year directly dropped to zero, and the expectation of stepping down before May was cut in half to 50%—this reversal can be called the market's "epic missed opportunity."



Previously, some tried to pressure the Federal Reserve to adjust the pace of rate cuts, but it backfired, instead reinforcing the stability expectations of the policy leadership. What seemed like a power struggle actually sent a key signal to the financial markets: the coherence of policy has been ensured.

What does this mean for the crypto market? The biggest fear in traditional financial markets is uncertainty. When the stability of the Fed leadership is strengthened, the macro policy framework becomes more predictable. Once this certainty is established, it actually gives crypto assets more room to perform—no longer being frequently suppressed by sudden policy black swans, the market can focus on its technological progress and ecosystem development.

Looking back, every major macro upheaval has ultimately reinforced the value proposition of decentralization. Market volatility has instead prompted a reevaluation of the necessity for diversified asset allocation. In the long run, the status of the crypto market as an independent asset class is gradually being established.
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PretendingSeriousvip
· 01-18 08:17
Haha, Powell has stabilized the situation this time, it feels like the crypto market might get a chance to breathe again. Uncertainty is the most deadly; now that the policy route is clear, it's actually a good thing. People who missed out must be feeling pretty bad. Next time, don't always try to bet on politics. Bitcoin doesn't care about these; just keep doing your own thing. Policy certainty = BTC can focus on rising. This logic is sound. These days, policy stability is more valuable than anything else. Crypto is all about making a living from this. Honestly, what the market fears is "you don't know what will happen tomorrow." Now there's a foundation.
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NightAirdroppervip
· 01-17 02:21
People who missed out must be feeling so uncomfortable now, getting slapped in the face right after turning around.
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TokenVelocityvip
· 01-16 03:51
Wait, are you saying that policy stability is actually good for the crypto world? I need to think about this logic... --- Another day of missing out, why does someone always go against the trend? --- Basically, uncertainty is the most deadly; this wave has indeed changed expectations. --- So should I stock up now or wait? Give me a straight answer. --- I've heard the decentralization value proposition too many times; is it true or not? --- If policies stabilize, will crypto take off? Why do I feel it's not that simple? --- The black swan has been suppressed; should retail investors breathe a sigh of relief? --- Those who didn't miss out this time must be feeling great, I didn't catch the trend. --- Diversified asset allocation sounds good, but isn't it just risk transfer? --- Powell has secured his chair; does the market really buy into this?
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MetaverseMigrantvip
· 01-16 03:45
Wow, I really didn't expect this reversal; the market got trapped so tightly, haha.
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HypotheticalLiquidatorvip
· 01-16 03:44
Policy stability reinforcement? Nice words, but in reality, it means the Federal Reserve has more say, and the market has lost its hedging space. That is the real risk.
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VCsSuckMyLiquidityvip
· 01-16 03:40
Haha, Powell has stabilized this wave, retail investors are about to get ignored again.
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MevWhisperervip
· 01-16 03:39
Haha, Powell's move this time is brilliant. The more he suppresses, the more stable the chair becomes. The market has truly missed out.
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