Recently, the main culprit for this round of correction is regulatory expectations. The "Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act," originally scheduled for a vote on January 15th, has been postponed due to disputes. There will likely be repeated fluctuations afterward, basically waiting for that moment.

Let's analyze three possible scenarios:

**Optimistic Route (40% probability):** The bill passes favorably, pushing BTC through the $100,000 mark, with SOL following explosive growth, breaking out with high volume from $148.4 to target $162. At this point, wait for a pullback to $145 to add positions, with a stop-loss set at $142.

**Sideways Movement (50% probability):** The most likely scenario. SOL oscillates between $137 and $148, as news is still uncertain. The best approach here is to buy high and sell low, engaging in swing trading.

**Black Swan Situation (10% probability):** If the bill contains negative clauses, SOL could fall below the $132 support level. Defensive strategy: short lightly at $135 during a rebound, with a stop-loss at $138, aiming for a target of $125.

In summary, ETH is also watching closely. The next move in the crypto market is basically dictated by the bill.