#数字资产市场动态 The suspense over the Federal Reserve Chair's future suddenly reverses! Market sentiment takes a sharp turn

Yesterday, an unexpected change came to the trading scene—the dramatic reversal in betting data on whether Powell will continue to lead the Fed. Polymarket's prediction market gave a clear signal: the probability of him stepping down before the end of May dropped from 74% to 45%, and the chance of leaving by the end of the year also fell from 85% to 62%.

Why did the sentiment shift so quickly?

In simple terms, Powell himself holds the legitimate card for succession. According to the rules framework, he can serve until 2028; various surveys around him actually strengthen the consensus within the Federal Reserve; and the market is voting with real money—compared to pure political appointments, a reliable, rule-based "monetary policy executor" is obviously more attractive.

What does this mean for crypto assets?

If Powell continues to stay in office, upcoming interest rate adjustments will be more methodical, data-driven. The long-term liquidity environment won't turn around, but the pace will become more transparent and less susceptible to political disruptions. With fewer sudden policy reversals, the market also reduces the risk of flash crashes.

Ultimately: the market has "bottomed" on the concept of "predictability." The game of central bank power is now truly heating up. $ETH $BTC $PEPE