#数字资产市场动态 The unexpected turn in the Federal Reserve Chairperson situation—market expectations for Powell's reappointment suddenly reversed. According to probability data, the likelihood of him leaving office before the end of May dropped sharply from 74% to 45%, and the chance of departure within the year also fell from 85% to 62%, marking a complete turnaround in the overall situation.

The logic behind this reversal isn't complicated. Powell's term could have extended until 2028, and various surveys did not shake his position; instead, they strengthened the internal cohesion of the Federal Reserve. The market's choices say it all: compared to political appointment games, investors value a knowledgeable and stable-minded monetary policy captain more.

What impact does this have on crypto assets? If Powell indeed stays, the pace of rate cuts will be more cautious and data-driven, with a significantly reduced risk of political interference. Long-term liquidity expectations remain accommodative, but policy signals will be clearer and more transparent, reducing the risk of market flash crashes. In short, certainty has become the biggest winner in this central bank power struggle.$BTC $ETH $PEPE