2026-01-16 03:21:11

#比特币2026年行情展望 Opportunities have emerged.

$BTC has broken through the short-term holder's average cost line. What does this signal mean? It indicates that the defensive phase has come to an end, and market sentiment is beginning to shift from caution to greed. When STHs transition from deep losses to a state of floating profits, their selling pressure will significantly decrease — this is a crucial turning point for whether the upward momentum can be sustained.

From on-chain data, the structure has already shifted back to the bullish side. In the short term, whether this line can be maintained will directly determine the subsequent trend.

The performance of $ETH and $SOL is also worth paying attention to, as they often follow the trend of Bitcoin. If this rebound can stabilize, leveraged short positions will be further squeezed, amplifying the rally.

Next comes the moment of truth — to see if the price can truly hold steady at key levels.

BTC-0,06%

ETH0,53%

SOL-0,52%

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AirdropF5Bro

· 01-18 10:33

Well... When STH's unrealized gains increase, the selling pressure eases. The logic sounds reasonable, but can it really stabilize? I still need to check on-chain data before making any conclusions. If it breaks down, it breaks down. The hype is overwhelming, and if there's another sharp decline, what should I do? I believe in ETH and SOL following the trend; let's see if they can truly establish a firm footing this time. Leveraged short positions closing to amplify the rally? Easy to say, but let's wait and see what the price does. Key levels are just key levels, what a joke, it's all about betting on probabilities. I'm a bit skeptical about this rebound; something just feels off. Are the bulls back? But I still feel a bit fake about it. On-chain data looks good, but market sentiment can change in an instant—no one really knows what's next.

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RatioHunter

· 01-16 03:50

Breaking below really needs to see if it can hold, otherwise it's just the same old trick of cutting leeks again.

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Whale_Whisperer

· 01-16 03:45

STH from being trapped to floating profits, can it really stabilize this time? I have a feeling it's just another false alarm.

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GasBankrupter

· 01-16 03:42

Hey, when STH has unrealized gains, the selling pressure can be eased. Why do I believe in this logic so much haha Can this wave be stabilized? I bet it can I'll wait and watch as the shorts close their positions. Anyway, I don't have the capital to go long

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ForkMaster

· 01-16 03:30

Yo, STH floating profits need to be sold to reduce selling pressure. I've heard this logic too many times... The real test is whether the leveraged shorts have been wiped out, otherwise the rebound is just an illusion.

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