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Tonight's market will be very volatile. Two key events will occur simultaneously: at 21:30 Beijing time, the US retail sales and PPI data will be released, along with the Supreme Court's ruling on Trump's tariffs case. The market could experience sharp fluctuations at any time, whether you're a novice or a veteran, you need to be prepared.
First, let's talk about economic data. Retail sales are expected to increase by 0.4% month-on-month. It sounds insignificant, but when actual data surpasses or falls short of expectations, it can trigger a chain reaction. Strong data means expectations for rate cuts will cool down, the US dollar will strengthen, and cryptocurrencies are likely to come under pressure along with US stocks. Conversely, weak data, while possibly reinforcing rate cut expectations, can also lead funds to flow into gold—rather than Bitcoin. This year, the safe-haven attribute of the crypto market has indeed weakened, and its speculative nature has become more apparent.
More attention should be paid to the tariff issue. If the court approves Trump's tariff plan, the probability of imposing a 36% tariff on Asian mining machines will significantly increase. This directly impacts the profit margins of US miners, as rising costs could lead to large-scale migration of mining farms, which in turn affects the stability of the entire network's hash rate and ultimately influences the price of coins. The market tends to react very sensitively to such policy risks; sometimes, a single piece of news can cause sharp market swings.
From an operational perspective, the most prudent approach is to wait until the outcome is clear before taking action. If you must participate amid volatility, be sure to strictly control your positions; protecting your principal is the top priority. In such high-uncertainty markets, winning depends on luck, and losing can teach you real lessons about real money.
Starting at 21:30, the market will enter a decisive moment. Keep a close eye on the data releases and court rulings, and be prepared to adjust your strategy at any time.
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Both tariffs and data, miners will probably have a hard night.
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Really, this is the toughest test of mentality. I choose to sleep to avoid risks.
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0.4% sounds insignificant, but the dollar coin price drops directly to its knees. I've seen this happen a few times.
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When a 36% tariff hits, mining farms move immediately. How can the coin price stay stable?
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Instead of betting on the market trend, it's better to bet on mentality. Stability is especially valuable tonight.
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Court rulings are the ultimate weapon, more stimulating than data.
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Honestly, I don't participate in high volatility. I've seen too many winners end up as losers.
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Cut your position in half, wait for calm waters, your principal is your parents.
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During an economic recession, gold gains, Bitcoin just drinks soup. This year, the reaction has indeed been different.
I just want to know how the court will rule, this is the key tonight
Another "be prepared" night, my position feels very tight
If the data is weak, can the coin price rise? Don’t be ridiculous, right now Bitcoin is just following the US stock market
I have to stay alert at 21:30, or I’ll get cut again
With these tariffs cut, the mining landscape is about to change
As soon as the rate cut expectation disappears, I’m at a loss, should I sell or hold?
Looking at these events stacked together, it feels like no one will sleep starting from 21:30
Will the skyrocketing mining machine costs really lead to external migration? Sounds a bit alarmist
Promised to protect principal, but I’m thinking about how to bottom fish, is there really something wrong?
It's another luck-based market; I'm choosing to sleep
Weak data = gold taking off, this logic is a bit crazy
At 21:30, it's better not to get itchy; just watch
Really, every time there's a critical moment like this, I just lie flat; making money is less appealing than preserving capital
Wait, if the court really releases the tariffs, will miners have to migrate crazily?
The rate cut expectation is cooling down; this wave indeed requires capital preservation as the main focus.
Operate after the data comes out; it's not as simple as it seems.
The probability that the coin price and US stocks will plunge together is quite high.
The saying "winning depends on luck" hits hard; I lost money that way before.
21:30 I have to stay alert, but it seems the odds are not in retail investors' favor.
If the crypto market really crashes along with the US stocks this time, I might have to cut my position in half.
Anyway, I'll wait for the results to come out; there's no rush in those two hours.
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36% tariff? Miners are done for, and the coin price will suffer along with it.
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Forget it, I’ll just keep lying low. Watching others gamble is way more comfortable than risking myself.
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If the data is weak, gold is still more attractive than us. I'm stunned.
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Really, every time there's a big event like this, I want to jump in, but in the end, it's always a lesson in losing money. I just can't learn.
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Just wait and watch the show; anyway, no matter how big the fluctuations, they won't affect the money I don't have.
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Once the tariff is approved, miners will just flee overseas. When that happens, the entire network's hash rate will be chaotic, and Bitcoin will have to be sacrificed too.
Wait, is the 36% tariff really going to be implemented? Miners are doomed.
It's both rate cut expectations and tariffs again, the Federal Reserve and Trump are coordinating.
Honestly, I don't know if it's going up or down, so why not just go to sleep?
If the mining farm relocates, the distribution of hash power will be reshuffled, and on-chain fees will surge again.
I'm just waiting to see how the court rules. Anyway, I will definitely check the data carefully before bottom fishing.
I'm a bit regretful about the current over-leveraged positions; the principal is the most important, brothers.
In times like these, it's better to reduce positions, wait for the storm to pass.
Don't trade before 21:30, keep your hands off the market.
Wait until the data crashes, those who can't hold now are all leeks
36% tariff? American miners must be crying to death
The rate hike expectation is gone, and the US dollar is about to suck the crypto circle again
I'll just watch quietly; anyway, I always lose
If the tariffs are confirmed, the cost of mining machines will double directly
Basically, it's a gamble on luck, and I choose not to gamble
A few minutes at 21:30 can determine my mood for a month...
With a small position, the mentality can be stable
This is crypto; either big gains or big losses, no middle ground
People say wait for the results to be clear before taking action, that's the way of veterans