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Since the beginning of the month, the market has rebounded again. The recent pattern remains the same—selling high and buying back low.
Starting this Tuesday, the period of listed companies releasing their earnings reports in clusters begins, and this rhythm will continue until the end of the month. Every time the financial data is released, the market fluctuates accordingly, which is quite normal. But one thing to understand—financial reports essentially reflect known information, just as short-term catalysts. What can truly change the situation depends on whether there are new performance outlook adjustments during the earnings conference. Otherwise, it won't significantly impact my long-term holding strategy.
What I should pay more attention to now is another variable: the Middle East situation and whether the US will take military action against Iran. The biggest fear is the panic caused by such uncertainty. But think about it from a different perspective—if the situation is certain to lead to conflict, it could actually be an excellent low-entry point. The harsh truth of investment betting is this: only low prices constitute real market good news. And low prices often require market panic to occur. The question is, how many people are really willing to buy in panic?
The underlying logic of making money in investment is, frankly, contrarian thinking. Once you get used to operating against the trend, you'll be surprised to find your win rate inexplicably rising. But this approach inherently goes against human nature.
Focus on: BTC, Ethereum spot, SOL, and other mainstream cryptocurrencies' opportunities for absorption.
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Financial reports, I've already digested them long ago; what really matters is the guidance.
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Honestly, the hardest part now isn't seeing through the tricks, but actually daring to go all-in when the market is about to collapse. I don't dare either.
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Low prices lead to low win rates—that's a curse. Every time I try to buy at the bottom, I end up buying halfway up the hill.
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BTC is holding steady to death, but some like SOL are a bit interesting. But who knows, I'm just dollar-cost averaging and holding.
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If you ask me, during earnings week, you should read more news and less K-line charts. When geopolitical tensions flare up, technicals are all fake.
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"How many people truly dare to buy in panic"—that's a really piercing question. I, for one, am too timid.
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Contrarian trading sounds easy, but the real test is psychological resilience. Most people won't live to see their win rate improve.
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Thinking in reverse is easy to say but really hard to do, I just don't have the guts.
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After looking at so many financial reports, they all feel the same, it's better to focus on the macro situation.
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Opportunities for buying the dip always appear when things are the most uncomfortable, isn't that ironic?
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That's right, but I still cut losses during panic, haha.
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Black swan events like the Middle East situation are probably a gambler's playground.
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Trading against the trend is really against human nature, I admit I'm the type to follow the crowd.
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This wave of BTC is quite interesting, let's see what happens during the earnings season.
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Only those who have truly suffered losses understand the taste of low prices.
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The problem is, who has spare money when panic strikes?