2026-01-16 02:21:49

The day before yesterday, I heard a friend complain that he lost 300,000 in the crypto world. When I asked how he lost it, he spread his hands and said, "It's because the teachers in the group told me to buy whatever they said, and I never thought about why." The teacher said a certain coin would increase tenfold, so he went all in, but the other party had already run away early, and he was still buying at the top.

This story is actually very common in the crypto circle. Those who shout signals in the group every day are not here to help you make money—they are here to make your money. On the surface, they share insider information for free, but in reality, you are that "insider information." There is a hard rule in financial markets: there is no free lunch. Those enthusiastic teachers have their own positions to unload behind the scenes, and your buying is the moment they cash out. The cost of laziness is becoming someone else's ATM.

What does it really mean to "understand"? It’s not about following the trend, but about being able to judge independently, with a higher probability of success over a longer period. Blindly copying signals is different—you are up against time and probability, both of which will eat you alive.

Look at the current market. BTC dipped slightly yesterday morning, rebounded in the afternoon, and then fell again after the US stock market opened in the evening. From the candlestick chart, the 1-hour level is in a downtrend, the 4-hour level is also downward, but the 12-hour and daily levels are still rising. Intraday resistance is at 98,500, support at 91,500 USD. It’s important to note that overall, 2026 might be a bear market, and once the rebound reaches the target, it’s time to reduce positions on rallies.

BNB is showing a weaker trend, not keeping pace with Bitcoin’s rise. Profit-taking from those small projects on the BSC chain is happening, and clearing positions around 950 to 1000 USD is quite appropriate. ETH is fluctuating with Bitcoin, but the 3300 to 3500 range is already a good point to consider taking profits. Be patient for the bottom; the bear market bottom might be around 1500.

There are a few recent news items worth paying attention to. CME plans to launch ADA, LINK, and XLM futures contracts on February 9. Ethereum staking has hit a new high, with nearly 30% of the supply already locked. Also, the Zcash Foundation announced that the US SEC has ended its long-term investigation.

Ultimately, the market operates this way: someone makes money, and someone loses money. The key is to understand whether you are investing or gambling.

BTC1,18%

BNB1,77%

ETH1,95%

ADA0,76%

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LayerZeroJunkie

· 01-19 02:14

300,000. This guy is really ruthless. But to be honest, I've seen too many of these situations; those "teachers" in the group are just money-grabbing machines. Anyone who trusts them is doomed. All-in to catch the bagholder, classic move. That's why I now watch the charts myself and no longer follow signals—it's too damn risky. BTC is indeed at a high level this wave, with the 98,500 resistance very critical. If it can't break through, be cautious. I think 2026 might really be worse; reducing positions on rallies now is the right move, or you'll end up being the bagholder again. Listening to the ETH clearing advice sounds pretty good; the 1500 level is the real opportunity. Holding positions now is actually at a disadvantage. Those low-tier projects are basically Ponzi schemes; clearing at 950 was definitely smart, or you'd get stuck holding the bag. Judging for yourself > blindly following the crowd, this is a spot-on statement. CME has launched new futures, and now more new retail investors are about to enter the market.

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UnluckyMiner

· 01-18 06:49

300,000 just as tuition fees; the old tricks of the crypto circle to cut leeks are really outdated. --- The ones truly making money are working quietly; those shouting every day? Haha, they've already sold out. --- This wave of BTC market is indeed a trap. Trying to break 98,500 repeatedly without success, and we should also watch out for the bear market expectations in 2026. --- I just can't understand why some people still believe in those "teachers" in the group and go all-in directly? Have they lost their minds? --- If ETH really drops to 1500, I will go all-in; currently, clearing out at this price is the right move. --- Making independent judgments is easy to say, but really doing it is too difficult. Most people still can't escape the fate of being harvested. --- Those copy-traders are just turning themselves into ATMs for others' accounts. Serves them right. --- The launch of this new contract on CME might be another signal of a round of leek-cutting; be cautious. --- BNB's trend is indeed weak, much weaker than Bitcoin; it's better to cut losses and exit early. --- The difference between investing and gambling is just a thought away; unfortunately, most people can't tell the difference at all.

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NotGonnaMakeIt

· 01-17 15:27

300,000. This guy really deserves it, he has no sense of autonomy at all. Following the trend to buy coins and giving away money is no different, the older brothers have already finished eating the meat, and you're still here taking the bait. This wave of BTC is indeed a bit hard to understand, the daily chart is rising but the hourly is falling, let's wait a bit before taking action. Selling half of ETH at 3500 seems reasonable, don't be greedy.

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LiquidityWizard

· 01-17 14:31

300,000 is just tuition fees; this guy's learning isn't even that expensive. --- The "teachers" in the group are just ridiculous. They haven't even made money themselves but are shouting buy/sell signals every day. Can you believe that? --- It's easy to say "independent judgment," but how many people can truly do it? --- BTC's recent market has been quite volatile. If the 98,500 resistance level can't hold, we might have to consider exiting. --- It's definitely time to reduce holdings when ETH is between 3300-3500; don't be fooled by the rebound. --- Actually, the most heartbreaking thing is "someone makes money, someone must lose money." Frankly, most of us are the ones losing. --- The prediction of a 2026 bear market is a bit conservative; who knows? --- That group of people in the dirt dog project already ran away long ago. Those still buying the dip are just bagholders. --- The saddest part about copy trading is that even if you lose money, you don't know where you went wrong. --- The news about staking volume hitting a new high is interesting. It seems many still believe in ETH's long-term prospects.

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PessimisticLayer

· 01-16 02:42

300,000 yuan, this guy is really using real gold and silver to pay for lessons --- Following others is actually a gamble on character, and still a gamble on the character of scammers --- I'm already tired of the usual scripts in the crypto circle, it's just the same old tricks with a new twist to fleece retail investors --- Is the bottom really at 1500? I feel like it might still go lower --- It looks like another bear market harvest period, be careful not to become the one who gets caught holding the bag --- Independent judgment sounds simple, but most people can't do it at all, including myself sometimes --- Those low-quality projects on BSC, they should have been sold off long ago, what are you still hesitating for? --- Watching K-line charts every day is useless; the key is not to be swayed by emotions. That's the hard part --- Paying 300,000 yuan for a lesson, some people might never learn it in their lifetime --- ETH at 3300-3500 really should consider reducing positions; going lower might just be a trap

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RegenRestorer

· 01-16 02:38

300,000. This guy is really outrageous, and he has to be cut twice before waking up. I've seen through those "teachers" in the group a long time ago. They just want to pump and dump. Independent judgment is really a hard skill; most people simply can't do it. Be cautious of this rebound in BTC; in a bear market, you should sell high. ETH should indeed consider clearing out now and wait for the bottom. Making money and gambling are separated by a fine line; most people are actually gambling.

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SocialAnxietyStaker

· 01-16 02:36

300,000 just disappeared like that, serves you right. Not following orders, you can still survive. --- Those "teachers" are just vampires, I've seen through them long ago. --- At the bottom of the bear market at 1500, I couldn't wait, I already got in. --- I'm serious about clearing out BNB, the local dog coins are indeed running. --- Independent judgment sounds easy, but in practice? Hehe, most people simply can't do it. --- The futures news on February 9th is good, but don't expect a turnaround. --- Staking 30% of the supply, this data is indeed fierce, but it also means risks are concentrated. --- People who follow orders deserve to take the hit, really, no compassion. --- The 98,500 resistance level, we'll see if it's broken, right now it's just oscillating and cutting leeks. --- Ethereum should be sold at 3500, this rebound is untrustworthy.

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WalletDetective

· 01-16 02:33

300,000 yuan is just tuition, better than some people losing 3 million and still stubbornly holding on --- Teachers are really amazing, calling orders while selling, and the retail investors are still grateful --- It's easy to say independent judgment, but how many can truly do it? Most are still driven by gambling instincts --- BTC's recent fluctuations, I'm just watching, not in a hurry to move --- Is ETH at 3500 really considering fleeing? My heart is a bit soft --- A batch of stray dogs has died, why are there still people willing to buy in? --- 2026 bear market? I'll just lie flat, no need to watch the market every day --- People who go all-in are actually gambling on human nature, not the coin --- Staking volume hits a new high, supply is locked, is this good news or bad news? It's hard to say --- No matter how correct it is, as long as there is a temptation of huge profits, someone will follow the trend. This is the eternal cycle in the crypto world

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