#美国核心物价涨幅不及市场预估 January 16 Morning Trading Ideas

Every time the market hovers around a key level, my heart starts to race. During sideways consolidation, I can think of perfect strategies, but once it hits a breakout point, my mind is filled with "what if it explodes" scenarios. And the result? Only after the dust settles do I realize I was overthinking. This is the most common psychological loop in trading—everyone can't escape it.

After this round of gains, the bears need enough resolve to maintain their judgment. Although the bulls see clear bullish signals, and the support at the bottom trendline is quite solid, every time there's a pullback, it rebounds strongly. Yet, it just can't break through the previous high. Even with high expectations for a small bull market, it must be based on the hard condition of "effective breakout." So this Friday will be a watershed—if it can't break the previous high before the US market opens, it will likely enter a short-term consolidation and decline.

From a technical perspective, $BTC has been oscillating between $95,000 and $98,000 in the past two days, with resistance levels never broken. There is heavy selling pressure above, the hourly DIF and DEA are diverging downward, and the MACD remains in the negative zone, indicating a strong correction demand. The hourly RSI has fallen from overbought to around 52, showing the upward momentum has waned. The EMA7 and EMA30 are close together and have slightly turned downward, so in the short term, $94,500 must hold.

On the daily chart, bullish momentum has clearly weakened, and there's a risk of a death cross, but RSI still stays above 60, indicating relatively strong momentum. The EMA7, EMA30, and EMA120 are still in a bullish alignment, and the overall bullish pattern remains intact. The strategy is mainly to buy on dips.

$BTC: Bullish in the $93,800-$94,800 range, target around $96,400-$97,400
$ETH: Bullish in the $3,230-$3,270 range, target around $3,350-$3,390