Tracking real-time hot topics in the crypto space and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Friday, January 16, 2026. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends☀Iron fans check-in👍Like and get rich🍗🍗🌹🌹

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U.S. stocks closed on Thursday with the three major indices rising slightly. Large financial stocks performed strongly. The Dow initially closed up 0.6%, the S&P 500 increased by 0.26%, and the Nasdaq Composite rose by 0.25%. According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”: the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 5%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 95%. By March, the chance of a total 25 basis point cut is 20.8%, with an 78.4% chance of no change, and a 0.9% chance of a 50 basis point cut. Focus will remain on Yibo’s continuous tracking of core signals such as the implementation of Fed policies, institutional fund flows, and on-chain data changes, with real-time updates on layout strategies and target dynamics.

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Bitcoin’s price yesterday showed a wide-range oscillation pattern. After spiking early morning, it pulled back, but the strong support at the 95,000 level prevented further decline, halting the short-term downtrend. From a daily chart perspective, the midline of the daily is a key dividing line for the bulls; this level still provides strong support, and the overall market is in a consolidation and adjustment trend. It’s important to clarify that short-term pullbacks are normal corrections after previous gains, as prices need time to digest profit-taking and repair technical indicators. Although the rhythm may lean toward slow, consolidation-driven gains, the bullish structure remains strong. Switching to the four-hour chart, the price previously pulled back from the upper Bollinger Band, stopping above the middle band. The downtrend has not continued; instead, a rapid rebound occurred. Currently, the four-hour moving averages are scattered and messy, indicating that short-term consolidation and adjustment are likely to persist. Notably, this round of decline did not touch the four-hour midline support, and the rebound was swift and powerful, confirming that bullish momentum remains sufficient. Trading strategy: continue to focus on long positions, relying on the 95,000 key support and the daily and four-hour midline supports to set up longs. Watch the previous high resistance levels during consolidation, and manage positions lightly during sideways movements.

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Ethereum’s overall movement closely follows Bitcoin’s wide-range oscillation pattern. Yesterday, the price peaked at around 3385 and dipped to a low of 3269. EMA trend indicators show continuous contraction. Currently, after a rapid rally with consecutive bullish candles, the price has not undergone a deep retracement but has shifted into alternating bullish and bearish sideways consolidation at high levels. This pattern reflects a strong technical repair demand in the market and also sends a clear signal: bullish momentum remains dominant, the upward structure is still stable, and after the technical repair cycle ends, the price has room to break upward. On the short-term hourly chart, the price shows a pattern of sideways consolidation with gradual upward movement, step-by-step. Although there has been some correction and the price temporarily runs below the hourly Bollinger middle band, the overall upward trend remains intact, and no effective breakdown has occurred during the correction. Trading strategy: maintain a bullish outlook for short-term operations, supporting longs around 3260-3280. Watch the resistance zone at 3370-3385. During sideways trading, follow with light positions; add on breaks.