2026-01-16 01:20:59

#美国核心物价涨幅不及市场预估【ETH Today Market Observation】

Ethereum surged to 3403 yesterday then turned around, the bullish momentum instantly faded, and it has been hovering there since.

From a technical perspective, the situation is indeed a bit awkward:
• The short-term moving average (MA7) is firmly pressing down from above, forming a classic bearish alignment with the 30-day moving average. The downward signal is quite clear.
• After the support level at 3300 was broken, the rebound lacked strength. Although there was a slight recovery, it got stuck at 3320 and couldn't break through, indicating that buyers are indeed lacking motivation.
• No obvious bullish force is seen in the trading volume; the overall pattern remains a oscillating downward trend. The low point at 3272 may be tested again.

【Trading Strategy】
The bearish opportunity is clearer. You can consider short positions in the 3340-3370 range, targeting the 3280-3200 zone below.

The movement of $ETH still needs to be viewed in conjunction with macro factors. How the US core CPI data performs will directly influence the subsequent trend of risk assets.

ETH-2,46%

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HalfBuddhaMoney

· 01-18 22:38

3403 That one directly broke the defense, the bulls really gave up for nothing. Once a bearish arrangement is formed, it's very hard to turn around. This wave, let's try the 3200 level as a bottom. If CPI doesn't work out, all risk assets will suffer losses, and ETH will have to be sacrificed along. Getting stuck at 3320 is really awkward. Is this all the buying power there is? This time, I feel the short opportunities are more solid than the longs. I expect a downward drop.

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PoetryOnChain

· 01-17 14:06

3403 just ran away, this bullish trend really isn't that interesting.

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blockBoy

· 01-16 01:51

3403 just turned around, this bullish trend is really weak. Being bearish feels a bit more comfortable.

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CryptoCrazyGF

· 01-16 01:50

3403 just turned around, the bulls really can't hold up I've been saying for a while that the short positions should exit, and now you're still dithering at 3320, waiting to break 3272 again? CPI data is so crucial, yet you still dare to take the plunge, your heart is really bold

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LiquidationWatcher

· 01-16 01:50

3403 is no longer effective, it's a bit tragic. The bearish sentiment is extremely strong.

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GasFeeVictim

· 01-16 01:49

That crash at 3403, the bears were laughing their heads off. It's the same old trick of the 7MA pressing down, how many times have we seen this before?

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ThatsNotARugPull

· 01-16 01:37

3403 just turned around, this bullish rally is really disappointing --- Even with such obvious bearish divergence, some people are still buying the dip, their courage is really bold --- We're about to test 3272 again, it feels like this time even dropping to 3200 isn't stable --- If CPI data is not favorable, ETH might continue to take a hit --- I just want to know who is still holding on at 3320, what are they thinking --- Shorting between 3340-3370 feels safer, anyway the bulls have no strength left --- With such sluggish trading volume, even a rebound is impossible --- Core CPI really decides everything, the macroeconomic situation isn't improving, ETH is definitely cooling off

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MeaninglessGwei

· 01-16 01:32

3403 just ran away, this bullish trend is really fragile The bearish arrangement is so obvious, 3272 must be broken CPI didn't explode, ETH is instead losing momentum, it's a bit funny Stuck at 3320 and can't move, indicating clearly that no one is willing to take the bait I was still hoping for a rebound, but it just oscillates and wears people out

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