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#数字资产市场动态 Does the "Four-Year Cycle" of Bitcoin really still work?
To put it bluntly: it might not work at all anymore, but people just can't let go of this idea.
Speaking of which, the four-year cycle has never been a scientific law—it’s more like a story that generations of investors have told themselves.
Fell? Don’t worry, just wait for the halving.
Consolidating? No problem, the cycle is still long.
The real question worth asking isn’t whether this theory is reliable,
but—if there were no such "cycle theory," would you still dare to hold on?
Prices might go up, but what actually drives it might not be the halving event itself, but everyone’s collective belief that the next wave of market movement will come.
This thing, rather than being a physical law, is more like a "collective religion" in the crypto world.
Think about it: do you believe in the cycle itself, or do you believe that others have made money within this cycle?