#美国核心物价涨幅不及市场预估 $BTC Technical Analysis Observation



Looking at the daily chart with Vegas, you'll notice that this moving average's role is quite evident—after support at Vegas 2, there's a rebound, but when it hits Vegas 1, it faces resistance and pulls back. Switching to the 4-hour chart, this resistance still persists. So the question is, after being suppressed by the moving average, will it plunge directly, or are there other possibilities?

Carefully observe that MACD shows no divergence signals, and there's no obvious reversal pattern on the 4-hour either, indicating that the bulls might still have some firepower. Based on previous analysis, short-term resistance levels are concentrated at 972-992-1012, three key price points spaced every 2000 points, which are worth noting. The 972 level has previously acted as support; if the price continues upward, look for opportunities at 992 or 1012. Conversely, if support fails, how should short positions be arranged on the right side? There are roughly three ideas—

First, wait for a break below support, and when the price dips to around 901-90, re-enter short positions on rebounds near 94. Second, patiently wait for a range of consolidation between 947-98 (which hasn't formed yet); once the range breaks, follow up from the right side. Third, look further upward; in extreme market conditions, it could theoretically reach 105-107.

Short-term weak support below is at 94788, and further down are secondary supports at 91988-90988. Bulls can participate at these support levels; how to choose depends on your own risk preference.

$ETH Recent Market Trend Thoughts

The technical outlook of mainstream coins is worth paying attention to, as market correlation still exists.
BTC2,32%
ETH3,92%
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LiquiditySurfervip
· 01-18 18:55
The Vegas line really has some skill, but I think the bulls are still in the surfing stage... It's that kind of wave that hasn't broken yet but isn't particularly fierce either. The MACD shows no divergence, indicating there's still enough momentum. The key is whether it can hold at 992; if it can't, then we need to prepare to push down.
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SchrödingersNodevip
· 01-17 19:35
Position 972 has been reached before, and I feel this time might be even more challenging.
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AirdropChaservip
· 01-17 12:25
Alright, alright, it's Vegas again and MACD again. I see you guys analyzing and analyzing, but in the end, it's just gambling on probabilities... This time, the core inflation didn't rise, which is a positive for the crypto market, right? But BTC's recent movement is indeed quite awkward.
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MetaverseVagabondvip
· 01-16 01:19
Is it the Vegas suppression again? I'm already tired of it. Let's wait for a breakout before making any moves.
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BTCRetirementFundvip
· 01-16 01:18
The moving average suppression is so obvious, I'm just worried that the bulls lack momentum. If it can't break 972, consider shorting.
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DAOdreamervip
· 01-16 01:18
Are you still using the moving average suppression strategy? Can 972 really hold up there? It feels uncertain.
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ServantOfSatoshivip
· 01-16 01:16
Vegas is indeed a significant line, but is the bullish momentum really enough? It feels like a breakout could happen at any time.
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MoonRocketmanvip
· 01-16 01:09
The three resistance levels in Vegas are aligned in a straight line. The launch window clearly hasn't opened yet... The bulls lack fuel, but the MACD is still holding strong. How to position on the right side depends on whether it breaks 972 or not. If it breaks, it will head straight to the sky; if it can't hold, then wait for a rebound to parachute from high altitude.
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ILCollectorvip
· 01-16 01:08
This hurdle at 972 is a bit risky. With insufficient bullish momentum, it probably needs to move downward.
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ImaginaryWhalevip
· 01-16 01:06
Vegas suppression is so obvious, do the bulls really still have momentum? It feels like they're just waiting for a breakdown.
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