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The Crypto Market Is in a Sensitive Phase: Don't Rush with Altcoins
Currently, BTC has recovered and is approaching the strong resistance zone around the 98,000 USD mark. However, it is noteworthy that most altcoins still haven’t kept pace with this rally. This indicates that capital flow is still primarily focused on Bitcoin, while smaller-cap coins remain quite cautious. Bitcoin Holds Steady at 98,000 – Altcoins Have a Chance to Rebound? My personal view is: if BTC can stay above 98,000 USD and fluctuate within the 98,000 – 100,000 USD range for a period, then there is a high likelihood that altcoins will experience a technical rebound. However, this is not a true “altseason,” but rather short-term bounces driven by market momentum. Ethereum Still Shows No Breakout Signal Regarding ETH, my opinion remains unchanged: there is currently not enough basis to believe that Ethereum and the entire altcoin market have entered a new bullish cycle. Although Michael Saylor continues to buy more BTC and many large funds are heavily deploying, these capital flows are mainly into Bitcoin. Need to View the Market Through Two Different Capital Flows At this point, it is essential to distinguish between two sources of funds: Institutional and fund investment flows: focused on BTC, with a long-term and strategic outlook.Individual investor flows: often seeking short-term profits in altcoins and meme coins. When BTC experiences a strong rally, trading algorithms often push the prices of many coins up very quickly, squeeze order books, and create the illusion that “altcoins are running.” But in reality, most of these coins do not sustain their upward momentum afterward. Be Extremely Cautious When Choosing Altcoins Now If you want to bet on a short-term rebound of altcoins, investors need to be very careful in selecting projects. Currently, the most attention is on: Chinese community meme coinsFan tokensDecentralized storage (storage) – could be a short-term hot spot However, all these are highly speculative plays, with high volatility and significant risks. Conclusion The market is in a very sensitive zone. Bitcoin is leading the game, while altcoins are just beginning to show recovery opportunities. If BTC maintains the 98,000 – 100,000 USD zone, altcoins may have a rebound, but there is not enough basis to talk about a long-term bullish cycle. Don’t let FOMO emotions drive you into the market when the trend is not yet clear. During this phase, discipline and risk management are more important than seeking quick profits.