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Bitcoin cycle is changing phases

There is a very familiar signal…
and every time it appears, the market enters a different stage.

Not news.
Not FOMO.
But the Price Oscillator.

If you look back at previous Bitcoin cycles, you'll see a very clear pattern:

👉 When the Price Oscillator drops below zero,
👉 The market does not bottom immediately,
👉 But begins a 3-wave sequence of the bear market.

And currently…
it has just fallen back below zero.

Most importantly:
👉 The first wave of the 3-wave decline is forming.

This is not the first time this has happened.

Data shows similar moments in the past are:

March 2014

March 2018

January 2022

What do these three points have in common?

It's not an immediate crash.
But a phase shift in the cycle:

From euphoria → doubt

From “buy anywhere and win” → “capital preservation is more important”

Many people often misunderstand this.

Seeing the price still high → think it’s still safe.
Seeing a rebound → think the uptrend is returning.

But with the Price Oscillator:
👉 It does not indicate high or low prices
👉 It signals when risk begins to increase

And when the first wave of the bear market appears,
the market usually still:

Drifts sideways painfully

Rebounds, making people think it’s stable

Then gradually reveals the true trend

👉 This is not a signal to panic.
👉 But it’s also not a phase to gamble.

History shows:

This phase is risky because of rushing into trades

But it’s also the best phase to preserve capital for the next cycle

To put it simply:

The market hasn't broken down strongly,
but the risk has returned.

Those who understand the cycle will slow down.
Those who don’t understand the cycle will trade more…
and often pay the tuition.

Understanding where the market phase is at times is more important than predicting where prices will go.