US employment growth slows significantly, what is the outlook before 2025?

Question

【ChainWen】The latest data from the US labor market shows clear signs of cooling. In 2025, 584,000 new jobs are expected to be added, averaging less than 50,000 per month, a stark contrast to the momentum in 2024—2 million new jobs were added last year, with an average of 168,000 per month.

What does this turning point mean? A significant slowdown in employment growth is often a signal of economic cycle adjustment. For the crypto market, the strength or weakness of the US labor market directly influences the Federal Reserve’s subsequent monetary policy stance, thereby affecting the entire asset allocation landscape. Weak employment data typically raises expectations for rate cuts, which could be positive for risk assets—including cryptocurrencies. However, the market’s short-term reaction will also depend on how specific inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s attitude evolve.

RuntimeError · Accepted Answer

50,000 per month on average? Last year it was 168,000, directly halved. Now the Fed will definitely have to cut. As expectations of rate cuts rise, there's a play in the crypto world.

LuckyHashValue · Answer

With such poor employment data, why not hurry up and accumulate coins... The expectation of interest rate cuts has emerged, and this is the real opportunity.

ForkMaster · Answer

With employment data so disappointing and expectations of interest rate cuts rising again, isn't this our wealth code? Last year, the average monthly income was 168,000, now it's less than 50,000. The Federal Reserve will have to soften its stance later, and risk assets will directly benefit. But the three kids I raise told me not to be too optimistic; we still need to see how inflation data plays out and not to be brainwashed by the project team's rhetoric.

Hash_Bandit · Answer

ngl the employment cliff is giving me early 2020 vibes... difficulty adjustment incoming for the whole economy fr. if fed caves on rates, alts might actually print again 👀

SandwichTrader · Answer

Average monthly 50,000? This data is really shocking once it comes out, a direct cut in half, brothers.

The expectation of interest rate cuts is rising, but I still feel a bit uneasy. Who knows what tricks the Federal Reserve will play?

With such poor employment, logically the crypto market should rise... Let's wait and see the inflation data first.

US employment growth slows significantly, what is the outlook before 2025?

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