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Observing the opening trend this morning and reviewing the analysis from the past two days, it’s not hard to notice a phenomenon——despite continuous suppression from the financial sector and institutional expectations, market enthusiasm remains very resilient. This resilience is mainly reflected in one point: the price still staying above the 5-day moving average, and from a technical perspective, it’s not yet a true correction.
So the question is, how can we determine when this wave of oscillation will bottom out? My approach is straightforward: when the market enthusiasm persists despite financial suppression, and once the financial sector shifts to release positive signals (similar to the first trigger point), the turning point will arrive. Conversely, if the financial sector continues to cool down, the oscillation and correction will deepen, and the key level below becomes a reference.
Ultimately, the key level is just surface data; the real secret lies in the degree of coordination between the financial sector and market sentiment. When both move in the same direction, that’s the beginning of a reversal.