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Recently, Bitcoin surged to around $93,000, and the market is jubilant. Many people are beginning to speculate whether the bull market is truly here. However, some seasoned trading analysts hold a different view, believing that this rebound shows serious risk signals.
From a technical perspective, the hourly RSI has entered the overbought zone, which usually indicates that short-term momentum is waning. Historical data shows that whenever a "overbought + declining volume" signal appears, it often triggers a significant correction. The problem is—retail investors often fail to see this risk.
Even more interesting is the market psychology aspect. Some analysts point out that institutions might be leveraging positive news such as rate cut expectations and ETF net inflows to create a false impression of a rebound. They gradually sell off their holdings at high levels, inducing retail investors to chase the high, only to then initiate a dump. This pattern of "leveraging good news → retail chasing high → precise dumping" is common in the crypto space.
Some even predict that this rebound will soon break below $90,000, heading straight for the $85,000 range. This judgment is based on their understanding of the current market structure—believing that the so-called positive factors have already been priced in, and the true bearish trend has yet to unfold. To confirm this view, some aggressive traders have increased leverage to short positions.
Currently, the market is in a stage of intense collision between bullish and bearish views. The future direction of BTC and ETH will determine the outcome of different strategies. Do you believe this is a rebound or a trap?