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Recently, a matter has sparked community discussion—MSCI, the global stock and ETF market benchmark provider, officially announced that it will temporarily not remove companies like Strategy, a Bitcoin treasury company, from its list. This sounds like good news, but a closer look at the terms reveals some interesting points.
MSCI quietly added a clause: it will not execute any increases in the number of included shares (NOS). At first glance, it might seem insignificant, but in detail—Strategy issues new shares through ATM (at-the-market) offerings, MSCI's index will no longer assign weights to these new shares. In other words, passive funds will not automatically buy these newly issued shares due to issuance.
What does this break? It breaks a cycle: Strategy issues new shares to raise funds → buys Bitcoin → ETF passive funds are forced to buy supporting shares due to weight changes → creates capital circulation. Now, this route is blocked. No matter how many new shares are issued, passive funds won't move, cutting off the incremental capital flow.
MSCI's logic is quite clear: I acknowledge that you hold cryptocurrencies, but I will no longer provide passive capital support for your financing activities.
The same rules could also impact Bitcoin treasury companies like Metaplanet and Capital B. For these companies that rely on issuing new shares to buy coins, this is not a small change.