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The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut has new developments! The probability of a rate cut in January dropped sharply from 17.7% to 11.1%, a significant change. The December non-farm payroll data released last night shows that the US labor market is recovering moderately. The 41,000 new jobs added were slightly below expectations, but compared to the employment contraction in November (-29,000), the rebound trend is clear. $BNB $SOL $XRP
The market now consensus: employment is not collapsing, inflation is still not at 2%, and the Federal Reserve has no reason to rush to cut rates in January. In my opinion, January is basically a "pause." The suspense now shifts to March, with about a 45% chance of a rate cut then. If next night's non-farm payroll data remains strong, the expectation of a rate cut in March may also waver, and the market will face a real stress test.
For our crypto circle, Federal Reserve policies are a crucial indicator. Changes in rate cut expectations will directly affect market capital flows and investor sentiment. Everyone should closely monitor subsequent developments and prepare in advance. Analysis is not easy, so please give a free follow, bookmark, like, and comment. Let’s ride the waves of the crypto tide together!