I have some recent thoughts on the trend predictions for several cryptocurrencies, and I’d like to share them with you.

Taking BREV as an example, yesterday’s judgment was basically in line with expectations—when I posted, the price was around 0.38, and it briefly reached 0.54 in a short period, a pretty good increase. The reason these predictions can be relatively accurate mainly lies in understanding the project cycle and capital dynamics.

Last month at the end of the month, I made directional judgments on River and ZKP. At that time, River’s fourth-quarter social activities had just started. Based on the price behavior patterns from previous quarters, such events usually trigger a pump. Plus, there was an upcoming token unlock period. From the project team’s perspective, raising the price can attract more retail investors to hold at high levels, making their holdings more valuable when the unlock occurs—that’s a straightforward logic.

The situation with ZKP is even more interesting. At that time, I observed that the top holdings were mostly well-known institutions, and some institutions’ average purchase prices were far below the market price. Institutional investors generally don’t make unprofitable trades, which means they have clear expectations for the subsequent trend, making a sharp rise quite likely.

Trading isn’t really mysterious; the key is whether you can see through the project cycle, institutional movements, and the subtle relationships in capital flow. Patience and waiting for the most certain moment to act often yield better results than frequent trading.