2026-01-08 04:22:56

Recently, many people have been asking: Is Bitcoin's rebound from 80,000 to its current level already a top? Is there still room for a long position? Should I bottom fish or short?

My judgment is very straightforward: this rebound, frankly, is just a "last chance for you to run."

**Why do I say this? Comparing to the 2022 historical trend**

I carefully compared the market conditions from three years ago. To be honest—it's a complete reenactment. What was the rhythm back then? Two bottoms gradually rising, with the second rebound higher than the first, leading everyone to think "a reversal is coming." And what happened? It collapsed directly. The candlestick patterns are so similar, and the momentum of the MACD is astonishingly consistent.

This kind of movement is not fundamentally a bullish signal but a textbook "downward continuation"—the rebound is just gathering strength for a sharper decline.

**Next steps and trading strategy**

My view on this market: BTC's rebound is nearing its end, and ETH is likely to surge to the 3400-3500 range before entering a new downtrend.

What are the trading suggestions? Very simple—if you have long positions, get out quickly, don’t wait. You don’t necessarily have to switch to short, but at least realize your profits first. If you really want to short, use 2-3x leverage; treat it as a medium- to long-term hold, leaving enough room for error.

**Time window**

The actual downward move is likely to start around two weeks before or after the FOMC meeting.

BTC4,25%

ETH2,96%

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LiquidityWhisperer

· 01-11 02:39

It's the same 2022 replay argument again, are we about to get fooled again... --- 3400-3500? I think this person's historical accuracy isn't great, they said the same last time. --- Alright, I believe you this time, hope you don't get proven wrong again. --- Starting two weeks before the rate decision? The timing is quite precise, should I bet on it or not? --- Just run, don't think about precise top-timing, if you can escape out, you've won. --- That logic sounds plausible, but I always feel that those doing the opposite are also reading this article right now. --- Long positions definitely need to be cleared, taking profits and securing gains is the right move. --- 3x leverage for a medium to long-term? That takes some guts. --- The term "downtrend continuation" is well used here, but I'm worried it might rebound again later. --- Is BTC about to hit the top? I bet ten U's it can still push for another wave.

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AirdropLicker

· 01-10 11:00

Starting to talk about history repeating itself again, but I really don't believe in that stuff. But to be fair, 3400-3500 is indeed a critical level. We'll see how it goes then.

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FUDwatcher

· 01-09 05:43

It's the same old story. I'm tired of reviewing 2022, but this time I really feel something's off. ETH reaching 3500 still feels conservative, but I do somewhat believe in the downtrend continuation you mentioned, after all, the candlestick chart is right there. During the two weeks of the interest rate meeting? Be careful, everyone. This time, it might really get tough.

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faded_wojak.eth

· 01-08 21:06

I lost everything in 2022, and this time I feel it's the same old trick. No, if I run quickly, then why am I still holding long positions now? I've heard this "last chance" so many times, and every time it's said like this. Starting two weeks before the FOMC meeting? Alright, I'll just wait and see if you get it right. A rebound to give an opportunity to run? I just want to ask how those who ran early are doing now. How likely is ETH to reach 3400? It feels like this prediction changes every month. Actually, it's still the same advice: DYOR, don't rely solely on one person's judgment.

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SolidityNewbie

· 01-08 04:51

Here we go again with the same argument comparing to 2022. Is this for real this time?

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HalfPositionRunner

· 01-08 04:50

Here comes the usual pump-and-dump again, this set of words is the same every time. Wait, is this a replay of the 2022 pattern? What a coincidence. That's enough already, let's see what happens and talk later. Is this for real this time? I think I'll just hold my coins. After hearing you, I'm even more confused. What the heck, I just want to take a gamble.

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GateUser-a5fa8bd0

· 01-08 04:46

Here comes the chopping of leeks again, can the 2022 script be replayed? I don't think so, this time the situation is different. Just listen and don't take it too seriously, after all, predictions are always post-event analysis. It's fine to make a quick profit and run, I agree with that. But 3400-3500? Feels like we're about to get slapped in the face again, haha. Collapse two weeks before the rate decision? Last time, Bitcoin was still rising when they said that. Instead of studying candlestick charts, it's better to see what on-chain whales are doing—that's the real signal.

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GasWaster

· 01-08 04:39

ngl this 2022 pattern copium is hitting different... but heard this one before lmaooo

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BridgeJumper

· 01-08 04:28

Here comes the same 2022 replica argument again—why are bulls so easily scared away?

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FomoAnxiety

· 01-08 04:26

Yeah, it's the familiar routine again. The 2022 replay script is really on point. Honestly, it's a bit intimidating. Hearing this kind of "last escape opportunity" argument too often can really mess with your mindset. Let's wait and see what the rate decision says. Anyway, I already don't have any more in my hands. But bro, this MACD comparison is really intense. I need to go review the charts.

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