2026-01-01 14:20:22

Bitcoin is repeatedly testing around the $90,000 mark, and the entire market's fear sentiment is thick enough to almost solidify. Interestingly, institutions on Wall Street are secretly accumulating behind the scenes.

Industry insiders have openly stated that the Federal Reserve's interest rate movements next year will be the main focus of the crypto market. Looking back at 2025, the Federal Reserve has already cut rates three times, with the most recent December meeting lowering rates by 25 basis points, bringing the current rate range to 3.5%-3.75%. However, according to the dot plot, there may only be one rate cut in 2026. Once this news broke, the market immediately became a bit restless.

Numerically, it’s quite alarming—Bitcoin has fallen nearly 30% from its October all-time high, and the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which measures overall sentiment, has been stuck in the "Extreme Fear" zone since mid-December, with a score of only 23.

But there is an interesting paradox here. On one hand, Bitcoin is still hovering above $90,000, and market sentiment is extremely poor. On the other hand, on-chain data reveals another signal: short-term holders are selling off in large quantities, with losses reaching $4.5 billion. This figure hasn't appeared since the Yen arbitrage blow-up in 2024.

What does this phenomenon usually indicate? Washout. And washouts are often a precursor to bottom signals. The Bitcoin reserves on exchanges are also continuously flowing out and have fallen to the lowest point since 2018. This suggests that the true holders are not selling but accumulating.

BTC-2,48%

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HodlVeteran

· 01-04 11:37

Brothers, I've seen this kind of shakeout too many times. I didn't dodge it in 2018, but now I can just smell what's going on. Institutions are accumulating, retail investors are crying. Isn't this the classic script before every bottom? I'm a living, breathing anti-model. The 90,000 line is a psychological barrier. True veterans have already gotten out. Those still bouncing above 90,000... we all know what's going on.

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StableBoi

· 01-03 03:39

Is Wall Street accumulating? Then I’m not worried either. Let’s follow the big funds and buy the dip. --- The fear index of 23 suggests the bottom might be near, right? --- Laughing out loud, retail investors are running while the Federal Reserve is accumulating. I’ve seen this routine too many times. --- Wait... Are Bitcoin outflows from exchanges at the lowest since 2018? That’s a pretty strong signal. --- Next year, the Federal Reserve will only cut interest rates once? Let’s see how January performs. --- The shakeout is coming, everyone, preparing for the next wave of gains. --- Repeatedly testing $90,000 feels like feeding the institutions. --- On-chain data doesn’t lie to me. Short-term holders taking losses just makes it easier for big players to scoop up. --- This round of fear... feels more genuine, not as fake as last time. --- Wall Street is accumulating, exchanges are selling; this is a typical bottom behavior. --- A loss of $4.5 billion indicates that someone is really panicking. --- The dot plot shows only one rate cut in 2026, but now it’s turned into a bottom signal? --- The worst times are often the best for making money. I believe in this logic.

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GateUser-9ad11037

· 01-03 02:05

Wall Street is accumulating, retail investors are selling, this show is always the same... --- When extreme fear hits 23, it's usually time to think the opposite, isn't it? --- Repeatedly grinding down ninety thousand yuan, I just want to know if this time can break through. --- The institution's moves and the average person's mindset are completely different; let's wait and see. --- The washout signal is right here; let's see who can hold on. --- The outflow of Bitcoin from exchanges reached its lowest point since 2018; this detail is quite telling. --- Next year, will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates once? That would be very crucial. --- Is losing 4.5 billion yuan actually an opportunity? I find this logic a bit hard to understand.

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TrustlessMaximalist

· 01-01 14:46

Wall Street is accumulating, retail investors are selling off. Isn't this the usual pattern at the bottom... I laughed at the fear index of 23, it's just the right time to get in.

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AirdropHunterZhang

· 01-01 14:44

Oh my, the institutions are quietly making a fortune again. When our fear index was at 23, they had already accumulated their positions.

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SchrodingerWallet

· 01-01 14:31

Wall Street is accumulating, retail investors are running, I've seen this script before. Institutions secretly accumulating in the dark, when isn't it like this... Extreme fear is the best ticket to get on, provided you have bullets. The $4.5 billion loss is a shakeout, is the bottom signal coming? I'll just watch quietly. The point chart shows only one rate cut next year, no wonder the market is so panicked. Exchanges' Bitcoin outflow is at the lowest since 2018, this data is quite telling. Short-term holders are cutting losses, but long-term hodlers are laughing. It's always the same routine. Repeated tests of $90,000 indicate strong support. The Fear Index is only 23, already numb, truly. This shakeout isn't over, keep crouching, brothers.

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FlashLoanPhantom

· 01-01 14:27

Damn it, it's the same old manipulation theory again. Wall Street is quietly accumulating, and I'm quietly losing money too.

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