Prediction markets and the crypto circle are two completely different game rules.

In the bull market phase, the industry attracts incremental capital, and the market grows larger, providing opportunities for retail investors to profit. During a bull cycle, large-scale retail profits often occur. This is a natural phenomenon when the market as a whole is trending upward.

But prediction markets are different—they are essentially zero-sum games. The concepts of bull and bear markets can't save the situation; from start to finish, it's a direct confrontation between participants, where the true test lies in the sharpness of the blades. The 80/20 rule here is not a trend but an iron law. At least 80% of entrants are destined to lose, and this is not pessimism but mathematics.

Currently, major prediction markets are indeed attracting attention through airdrop expectations, creating some short-term excitement. But if you still expect to reverse wealth by betting in prediction markets, that's overly naive. What hasn't been achieved in the crypto circle is even more difficult here. This is not self-denial but a clear understanding of the market mechanism.