#美联储降息 Will the Federal Reserve's rate-cut cycle push the market down to the 2500 level?

Recently, this round of rate cut expectations has indeed sparked quite a bit of discussion in the market. Some are optimistic about the liquidity release benefits, while others are worried that recession expectations will depress risk asset valuations. From a technical perspective, actually falling to 2500 would indeed require an extremely pessimistic market sentiment, but it’s not entirely impossible.

The key still depends on the Federal Reserve's actual actions and pace. If the rate cut magnitude exceeds expectations, it might even stimulate risk appetite to rebound. But if economic data worsens and risk aversion rises, then low-level exploration becomes a routine operation. Currently, the market is pricing in a relatively moderate rate cut path, and the probability of extreme scenarios is not particularly high.

What do you think about this issue?