#ETH走势分析 lost count of how many times I've lost money before I finally figured things out. Now, I basically make a living from trading.

I've accumulated some insights over the years that I think are worth sharing. These aren't complicated theories, but every point is a lesson paid for with real money:

**1. Be cautious with coins that have risen more than 50%**

With coins like these, it's hard to stay calm if the price goes up just a little, and you start agonizing over whether to sell if it drops even a bit. Simply put, it's easy to lose your composure. In contrast, coins you buy at lower levels offer better value—risks are more manageable, there's more room for upside, and your success rate tends to be higher.

**2. Only focus on strong coins**

Not sure how to distinguish between strong and weak coins? Just use the 60-day moving average as the dividing line. If the price stands above it and stabilizes, that's when you can consider building or increasing your position. If it falls below, get out. Sticking strictly to this rule works for most coins.

**3. There are signs before a major upward move**

Before a big rally starts, you usually see a small fluctuation of around -10% to 20%, and trading volume shrinks. If the price is already in a relatively low area, you can start entering in batches when you spot this trend. Eight or nine times out of ten, a strong rally will follow, and those who get in early can catch this wave of gains.

**4. Short-term windows for new concepts and sectors**

Whenever a new hot topic or sector emerges in the market, there's usually a 3 to 5 day period of upward movement. Once you understand this pattern, you can follow the lead of major funds and make some quick profits during these breakout periods.

**5. Take a break when a bear market hits**

When the bear market comes, the overall trend is clearly downward. Instead of trading frequently, it's better to stay on the sidelines and observe. The smartest move is to sit out and wait for the right signals. On bad market days, less action is better than more action.

**6. Risk assessment always comes first**

When it comes to investing, your first thought shouldn't be about how much you can make, but how you can keep risk under control. Allocate your capital rationally, learn to cut your losses, and manage your position sizes—only then can you survive longer in the crypto world.

**Final thoughts:**

At the end of the day, trading is as much about psychology as it is about technique. Moving from frequent losses to steady profits is a process of constantly adjusting your mindset and optimizing your strategies. I hope these experiences help you avoid some detours along the way.