#美联储货币政策 Looking back at the monetary policy cycles over the past few decades, the Fed's decisions have indeed had a profound impact on the markets. The results of this Reuters survey remind me of the round of easing after the 2008 financial crisis. At that time, the market also generally expected the stock market to continue rising, but in reality, there was significant volatility. Now analysts are predicting that the S&P 500 index could rise to 7,490 points next year, but I think we should remain cautious. After all, the rebound in inflation and the uncertainty of rate cuts are both potential risks. Based on past experience, market expectations are often overly optimistic, while actual trends are full of uncertainties. There may be a correction in the next three months, and investors should be prepared. The key is to closely monitor the Fed's policy moves, as they are often a major factor triggering market turning points.