Staying up at 2:30 AM to watch the market, Ethereum is currently priced at 3150. I’ve noticed something interesting—the northbound momentum stalled after hitting clear resistance at 3170. The main force’s move is obvious: there’s no intention to push hard in the short term, so it’s more likely to consolidate around 3170 or even have a slight pullback.



Yesterday’s pullback actually wasn’t deep enough, so the technical correction hasn’t fully played out, yet the market went straight into two days of a one-sided rally. The previous strategy was: hold long positions, as long as the pullback doesn’t break 3170; if it does, take full profit and wait for the next opportunity. Anyone who kept up with the rhythm these past two days should have made good gains.

Looking at the daily chart data: before publishing, the highest touched 3240, the lowest pulled back to 3130. The EMA trend indicators are starting to converge, EMA15 has moved up to 3040, EMA30 is consolidating at the golden ratio 0.5 line (3170), and the Bollinger Bands’ middle line is holding at 2980, with the upper band pausing at 3240. There is definitely a technical need for a pullback.

MACD continues to increase, but a major bullish divergence hasn’t formed yet, indicating the market hasn’t fully turned bullish—it’s just hit the first stage high. The next mid-to-long-term target area is at the trend top of 3560 and near the Fibonacci 382 line at 3590, but there’s no rush to look that far ahead right now. Focus on the strength of the pullback first.

Switching to the 4-hour chart, the ascending flag pattern is clear, currently stuck at the neckline. EMA15 is about to move up to 3100, and all indicators are starting to alternate upwards, forming a four-line golden cross bullish structure. But note that there’s a divergence at the top of the MACD, with DIF and DEA contracting at high levels, especially with clear signs of profit taking after hitting 3240. In the short term, shorting around 3200 could be profitable, but don’t get greedy—take profit when you can. The core idea remains to buy on dips.

**Short-term trading reference:**
Short position trial: 3200-3250 range, if it breaks look to 3300, stop loss 50 points, target 3150-3100, with extension down to 3050-3000 if broken

Long position trial: 3100-3050 range, defend 3000, stop loss 50 points, target 3150-3200, with extension up to 3250-3300 if broken

(Trade based on real-time order book, strategies are for reference only, trade at your own risk)
ETH6.59%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 8
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
CommunityJanitorvip
· 12-07 17:13
Staying up late to watch the market is really something, the main force just doesn't want to break through 3170. It feels great to catch the gains, just worried about catching a falling knife during a pullback. Short at 3200 to test the waters, don't get greedy. This divergence is interesting, feels like some consolidation is coming. The Fibonacci retracement level is being defended tightly, looks like the main force wants to play mind games. Keep going long on dips, must hold around 3000.
View OriginalReply0
GmGmNoGnvip
· 12-07 10:19
For those guys watching the market in the early hours, this 3170 resistance is quite interesting, the signs of the main force releasing liquidity are too obvious. I regret not catching the move yesterday, but looking at the 4-hour flag pattern, there’s still a chance. Just worried that the 3200 short position might get squeezed again. Wait, with such obvious high-level distribution, is it really wise to go long? Feels a bit risky. Still watching the market at 2:30 a.m.—this is truly a sign of being hopelessly addicted, haha. I want to try the 3100-3050 long position, but the 50-point stop loss feels a bit tight. Can I handle it mentally? Actually, the hardest part now isn’t predicting the right direction, it’s not being greedy—that’s really tough. If the bullish divergence hasn’t formed, it means the trend hasn’t fully turned bullish yet—I agree with this logic. But with so many short-term variables, who can really nail it?
View OriginalReply0
GasFeeCryvip
· 12-07 06:55
The main force is dead set on not breaking through the 3170 hurdle, I saw this coming. This round is mainly about repeatedly squeezing between 3000-3200. Those who stayed up late to watch the market made money, but now you have to be careful getting in—if the upper band can't be broken, it'll keep consolidating. Shorting here does offer good profit potential, but don't chase blindly. The real opportunity comes when the pullback is in place. If EMA15 can really hold 3100, then the rebound space is worth watching. You have to defend the 3000 level well, otherwise it will get dangerous. The bullish divergence hasn't fully formed yet, which means there's still a chance, but don't be overly optimistic. Testing with a small position is safest. The neckline has been stuck for so long—it's either going to break through or pull back, there's no other possibility.
View OriginalReply0
nft_widowvip
· 12-04 19:51
I really can't bring myself to watch the market at 2:30 in the morning—gotta admire this person's dedication. 3170 is indeed an interesting level these past couple of days; if it hasn't broken through, it just hasn't. Not sure if those who made profits earlier are still holding on now. I've seen it many times where it pulls up without a proper pullback—same old tricks from the main players. Try shorting at 3200; as long as you make a profit, don't get too greedy. I need to think more carefully about the statement "the bullish divergence hasn't formed yet."
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketSagevip
· 12-04 19:50
Still watching the market at 2:30 AM, this guy is really hardcore. 3170 is indeed a tough barrier, I can see this sideways consolidation clearly. The technical pullback hasn’t happened yet, the main players are really testing our patience. Try a short at 3200, don’t be greedy, take profits when you can. Buying on dips is still the core strategy.
View OriginalReply0
SleepTradervip
· 12-04 19:50
2:30 in the morning? Man, your schedule is something else, I gotta hand it to you. I did get some gains, but this 3170 sideways movement feels a bit tough to get through. I noticed the MACD divergence too, but it always feels like I'm a step behind. I'm still a bit hesitant about shorting at 3200, especially with all four lines crossing upward right now. Buying the dip is the way to go, just waiting for an opportunity around 3050. This time 3240 didn’t get broken, so the next high really has to be around 3560. The main players are holding back a big move at 3170. I’ll bet five bucks we break through next week. Is a slight pullback actually an opportunity? Or is it a bit risky to jump in now?
View OriginalReply0
MemeEchoervip
· 12-04 19:36
Still watching the market at 2:30 AM, this is my destiny. The 3170 barrier is really tough to break. For those who made profits, don’t get cocky. The divergence signal is right here—know when to cash out, got it? If it drops to 3100-3050, I'll buy in. I’m betting on a rebound this time, otherwise, just pretend I never said anything. The MACD bearish divergence looks a bit risky, but the bullish trend is still intact. I choose to have faith. If it breaks below 3000, I’ll admit my loss. Anyway, risk is your own responsibility—everyone relies on their own skills.
View OriginalReply0
TokenTherapistvip
· 12-04 19:27
Bro, watching the charts in the middle of the night, your analysis is really on point. The 3170 level was held tightly. It feels great to make some gains, but the worry is wanting another bite and then getting slapped back. Now it all depends on whether we can hold the 3100 line. If it breaks, we’ll really have to wait for the next wave.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)