Have you ever experienced that moment of collapse: clearly judging the trend correctly, but the account has already dropped to zero?
One early morning last month, my phone was suddenly bombarded with messages. A brother who has been following me for a year and a half, Xiao Lei, sent me a voice message, his voice trembling: "I had already anticipated that BTC would drop below 43000, so why am I still suffering a heavy loss and getting out?"
I replied directly to him: "Knowing the right direction is just the first step; if you don't understand how to roll out the position, it won't matter how accurate you are."
This is not a deliberate attack on people, but rather a rule taught by the market with real money.
I remember that some data platform reported a while ago that the daily liquidation scale of the crypto market exceeded 2 billion USD, and more than 70% of traders predicted the direction correctly, yet they still ended up liquidated. Where did the problem lie? The execution method.
Xiao Lei's actions are a typical example of what not to do: as soon as the price rises a little, he rushes to take profits, worried that the cooked duck will fly away; as soon as the market pulls back a bit, he throws in money, thinking he has found a golden opportunity; but once he encounters a slightly larger fluctuation, his stop-loss level gets breached in an instant.
He can close positions more than ten or twenty times a day. On the surface, it looks like he operates frequently like a professional player, but in reality, he has turned his twenty thousand yuan capital into minced meat.
The truly profitable trades are never based on intuition, but rather rely on a system that can withstand market shocks.
Do you remember the market situation from some time ago? It was as thin as window paper. At that time, I had a limit of fifteen thousand, and I was determined that ETH was going to go down, but I held back for a full four days before making a move.
On the first attempt, I put in 700U with a five-fold leverage, setting the stop-loss point at 1.6%—tighter than the usual 2.8%, and I won't act randomly without seeing a confirmed signal.
The market is indeed developing according to my predictions, and I made a profit of about 400 in the first round.
At this point, many people have already heavily invested, but I only used half of my profits to increase my position. I waited until ETH really broke through the 4400 support before putting in the remaining profits, while my capital? I kept it tucked away in my pocket.
I suffered heavy losses during that bear market in 2023 when I was heavily invested—ETH plummeted from $1900 to $1300 in a cliff-like drop. I held on without stopping my losses, and it directly dropped to zero. That kind of pain is etched in my DNA.
When the floating profit exceeds the principal, I immediately lock in the bottom position as a safety cushion, open a reverse position to hedge the risk, and then take a small position to capitalize on the tail-end market.
After that operation, fifteen thousand rolled to thirty-three thousand, and I didn't make any chaotic moves due to emotional fluctuations throughout the process, executing mechanically just like a program.
Are there still friends complaining about being trampled by the market? The root cause is actually not understanding the rules of the game.
Stubbornly holding on to positions and betting on reversals, missing out on big gains? What you lack is not better technical indicators, but a complete rolling position mindset.
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MEVHunterNoLoss
· 12-02 09:51
To be honest, Xiao Lei's trap is just a typical gambler's mentality; even if the direction is right, he still makes losses. I've seen too many of these.
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GateUser-addcaaf7
· 12-02 09:48
To be honest, judging the right direction is really just the beginning. I have also stumbled before... The key is stop loss and position management; if these two are not up to par, everything else is in vain.
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CompoundPersonality
· 12-02 09:48
Can you make money by accurately predicting the direction? Brother, this idea is too naive; the key is still knowing how to rollover.
Stop loss can really save your life; otherwise, it's a suicidal trade.
Is it still a loss even if the direction is right? That means you haven't understood the position management system, purely asking for death.
Testing with a small position is the right way, not going all in to bet on a reversal.
Unrealized gains should be locked in with the bottom position; those who are greedy have been taught a lesson by the market.
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fren.eth
· 12-02 09:43
That's too extreme; as long as the direction is right, that's all that matters. This way of thinking really needs to change... I've seen too many people like Xiao Lei.
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UnluckyLemur
· 12-02 09:40
Wow, Xiaolei's operation is really amazing, even with the right direction, he can still incur losses like this... This is what is known as "a clever mind is often deceived".
View OriginalReply0
BlockchainFoodie
· 12-02 09:25
honestly this is literally like sous vide your position sizing... you can have perfect temp prediction but if your mise en place is chaos, the whole dish falls apart fr
Have you ever experienced that moment of collapse: clearly judging the trend correctly, but the account has already dropped to zero?
One early morning last month, my phone was suddenly bombarded with messages. A brother who has been following me for a year and a half, Xiao Lei, sent me a voice message, his voice trembling: "I had already anticipated that BTC would drop below 43000, so why am I still suffering a heavy loss and getting out?"
I replied directly to him: "Knowing the right direction is just the first step; if you don't understand how to roll out the position, it won't matter how accurate you are."
This is not a deliberate attack on people, but rather a rule taught by the market with real money.
I remember that some data platform reported a while ago that the daily liquidation scale of the crypto market exceeded 2 billion USD, and more than 70% of traders predicted the direction correctly, yet they still ended up liquidated. Where did the problem lie? The execution method.
Xiao Lei's actions are a typical example of what not to do: as soon as the price rises a little, he rushes to take profits, worried that the cooked duck will fly away; as soon as the market pulls back a bit, he throws in money, thinking he has found a golden opportunity; but once he encounters a slightly larger fluctuation, his stop-loss level gets breached in an instant.
He can close positions more than ten or twenty times a day. On the surface, it looks like he operates frequently like a professional player, but in reality, he has turned his twenty thousand yuan capital into minced meat.
The truly profitable trades are never based on intuition, but rather rely on a system that can withstand market shocks.
Do you remember the market situation from some time ago? It was as thin as window paper. At that time, I had a limit of fifteen thousand, and I was determined that ETH was going to go down, but I held back for a full four days before making a move.
On the first attempt, I put in 700U with a five-fold leverage, setting the stop-loss point at 1.6%—tighter than the usual 2.8%, and I won't act randomly without seeing a confirmed signal.
The market is indeed developing according to my predictions, and I made a profit of about 400 in the first round.
At this point, many people have already heavily invested, but I only used half of my profits to increase my position. I waited until ETH really broke through the 4400 support before putting in the remaining profits, while my capital? I kept it tucked away in my pocket.
I suffered heavy losses during that bear market in 2023 when I was heavily invested—ETH plummeted from $1900 to $1300 in a cliff-like drop. I held on without stopping my losses, and it directly dropped to zero. That kind of pain is etched in my DNA.
When the floating profit exceeds the principal, I immediately lock in the bottom position as a safety cushion, open a reverse position to hedge the risk, and then take a small position to capitalize on the tail-end market.
After that operation, fifteen thousand rolled to thirty-three thousand, and I didn't make any chaotic moves due to emotional fluctuations throughout the process, executing mechanically just like a program.
Are there still friends complaining about being trampled by the market? The root cause is actually not understanding the rules of the game.
Stubbornly holding on to positions and betting on reversals, missing out on big gains? What you lack is not better technical indicators, but a complete rolling position mindset.