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⚠️On the margin .. Technical Analysis | Educational Post:
🟡 What does Technical Analysis mean?
🔵 Technical Analysis is a key tool for traders as it helps predict price movements based on historical data.
🟡 What tools do I use for Technical Analysis?
🔵 💫 Charts: Candlestick patterns are the most common for analyzing market fluctuations.
💫 Indicators: Moving Averages (MA) and RSI indicator help in identifying trends and saturation.
💫 Support and Resistance: Critical levels in a volatile market like cryptocurrencies.
🟡 What are Japanese candles?
🔵 Candlestick charts are a type of chart used in Technical Analysis to represent price movement over a specific time period, showing the opening, closing, highest, and lowest prices. They consist of a "body" ( the difference between the open and close ) and "shadows" ( the upper and lower lines ). They are characterized by green for an increase and red for a decrease.
💫 It began in the 17th century in Japan, where it was developed by a rice trader named "Munehisa Homma" to analyze rice prices in the market, and later spread to global financial markets.
🟡 How do I analyze the candles?
🔵 💫 Candle Shape:
Long body: indicates the strength of the trend (bullish if green, bearish if red).
💫 Short body: Indicates a frequency or weakness in the direction.
💫 Shadows:
Long Upper Shadow: Selling Pressure After Rise.
💫 Long Lower Shadow: Buying Pressure After a Drop.
💫 Patterns:
Doji Candle: Close and open prices are close together, indicating indecision or a potential reversal.
💫 Hammer: Long lower shadow, indicating a bullish reversal.
💫 The Hanging Man: A long upper shadow, indicating a bearish reversal.
🟡 What are the indicators?
🔵 💫 Moving Averages (MA): Calculated by averaging the asset's price over a time period (such as 50 days). They help in determining the trend:
If the price is above the average: bullish trend.
If it has: a downward trend.
The crossover of two moving averages ( short and long ): gives buy or sell signals.
💫 Relative Strength Index (RSI): measures price momentum (from 0 to 100) to determine saturation:
Above 70: Overbought ( the price may drop ).
Under 30: Oversold ( the price may rise ).
It helps confirm the strength of the trend or its reversal.
The two complement each other: MA for direction, RSI for timing!
🟡 What is support and resistance?
🔵 💫 Support: A price level where the decline often stops because demand increases, meaning a "floor" for the price.
💫 Resistance: A price level where upward movement often halts due to increased supply, meaning a "ceiling" for the price.
They are determined based on previous lows and highs in the candlestick chart.
🟡 Is there anything else that affects currency prices besides Technical Analysis?
🔵 Yes, there are other factors besides Technical Analysis that affect cryptocurrency prices:
💫 News: Regulatory decisions, adoption by large companies, or cyber attacks.
💫 Supply and Demand: Currency Scarcity ( like half of Bitcoin ) or increased trading.
💫 Sentiment: Investor Expectations and the Impact of Social Media.
💫 Macroeconomics: Inflation or Interest Rates Globally.
💥 These suddenly influence and can change the direction regardless of the analysis.
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