[Red Packet] Top-tier cycle breakdown of trading rhythm, trading details, what about quantification???

GCL System Integration: I previously analyzed that this stock would move in tandem with Aerospace Development, currently experiencing a rebound. Yesterday it was testing the 20-day moving average; today it’s about to verify its strength. Selling off was due to unfamiliarity with this stock’s positioning and cycle. [Taoguba]

ShunNa Shares / HanLan Shares: Yesterday’s post clearly stated the expectation that the power sector—TBEA, Xidian, Dongfang Electric, Sifang Shares—would stabilize. Today, all show signs of stopping their decline. Similarly, China Power Construction and China Energy Construction are also expected to halt their fall today. As emotional stocks lead, high-level stocks like ShunNa Shares, HanLan Shares, Jinkai New Energy, GCL Energy Technology, and Huadian Energy will likely emerge as high-position leaders. Who exactly will lead depends on initiative; ShunNa was proactive yesterday and today, so HanLan cannot hit the limit-up; a top at T is inevitable. Volume and price must be combined with sentiment—using only one is not enough. Remember what I taught in live sessions—have you forgotten?

Multi-dimensional Dialectical Cycle Major Structural Analysis:

On March 6, I discussed the M-top (double top). The index’s decline is part of the major trend. Those who watched the live broadcast and replays should know that expectations are gradually reflected in the market.

The first phase of the main rally peaked due to village regulation; the second phase of correction did not see a major drop; the third phase lacked sufficient volume and themes to continue. Therefore, the fourth phase will likely see a major decline. Currently, here are some key points:

1. The current main decline of the index; any rebound can be judged by volume. A volume-decreased rebound cannot be a reversal; each rebound lasts about two days.

After the index fell on March 4, it reversed and peaked on March 6.
After the index fell on March 9, it reversed and peaked on March 12.
On March 16, after falling to previous lows, it reversed again. Can this reversal surpass the high on March 12? The probability is very low.

Conclusion: After this platform is built, the market will continue downward to form the next box.

2. Can the current decline of the index end here? No signals indicate it has ended.

Judgment criteria: Is there volume expansion with a V-shaped rebound? Is there a quick bottoming out with large one-word sell orders hitting the limit down?

Clearly, no.

3. Since the decline started on March 3, which stocks resonate with this decline cycle?

1. Guosheng New Materials, GCL System Integration—representing commercial aerospace rebound, photovoltaic, space computing power, green electricity.

2. Chemical sector representing US-Iran conflict themes.

3. ShunNa Shares—resonating with the power sector after the index stabilized on March 4.

Chemical and electric power sectors are like seesaw; however, this seesaw relationship is limited to the bottom formed on March 4 within the rebound box. If broken below, can ShunNa’s computing power cycle continue? That will be tested.

Writing today’s post was challenging; the big picture must be analyzed from a macro cycle perspective.

II. Operating rules of themes and stocks within the current box

The index fell to around 4050 at the close.
Tomorrow, will it bounce off the lower boundary of the box (A), or break below and move B?

1. If it moves B, the chemical cycle continues, themes opposite to the index.
2. If it moves A, the low-level rebound of electric power and computing power, along with high-level crossing, will emerge.

The current market rhythm is based on the index’s box, focusing on chemical and computing sectors, combined with photovoltaic cycles (Guosheng Technology, GCL Energy Technology).

Any theme that is strong for two days, combined with the index reaching the upper or lower boundary, can be harvested through quantitative reversal.

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The index declines, major tech cycle leads the decline, and the current cycle is within the rebound phase of commercial aerospace.

The precious metals cycle represented by HuNan Silver.

The price increase cycle represented by Longfei Fiber, Tianfu Communication, Honghe Electronics.

The computing power cycle represented by Yunnan Energy Control and ShunNa Shares.

The rebound cycle of commercial aerospace represented by Guosheng New Materials and GCL Energy Technology.

All these cycles correspond to the third stage of aerospace development (commercial aerospace), i.e., their rebound cycles. From a highly suppressed perspective, as discussed in live sessions, stocks that surged around this period are under high suppression by HuNan Silver.

In the larger cycle, once the US-Iran conflict-induced market instability ends, new tech cycles will break through the heights of nonferrous metals and commercial aerospace, potentially pushing the index to new highs.

If you haven’t watched my live sessions or are unfamiliar with the market’s big cycles, it may be hard to follow. Focus on the multi-dimensional dialectical trading system; it will expand your perspective and elevate your understanding.

Key points and expectations:

1. The main rally in the commercial aerospace cycle is space computing power, fundamentally solving the issues of computing power and electricity. If you don’t understand, search for Musk’s commercial aerospace goals—why is space computing power needed? The essence is that computing power development depends on electricity—resources and electricity. Earth’s electricity resources can’t keep up with computing power growth, so space computing power addresses this bottleneck.

2. The current background of computing and electricity coordination is similar to that of commercial aerospace.

3. Will the peak of the electricity cycle coincide with the super double-head or second wave of aerospace development, leading to a top?

Let’s see market validation.

What to watch tomorrow?

1. I will share early on that the focus is on electricity, expecting market recovery tomorrow—front-running electricity stocks.
2. Quant traders: follow divergence, not consensus. When the index declines, chemical stocks are already aligned.
3. Can the 4050 level of the index hold?

If the direction and rhythm are correct, and the current index, cycle, themes, and stocks follow the pattern, at least you won’t suffer losses and can still profit.

The current market requires comprehension. Without a trading system and understanding, it’s hard to judge the rhythm accurately and avoid setbacks. Those lacking this should rest and stay in cash.

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Strongly recommend all my followers watch my live replay—this is the only way to truly connect with me!
Only after watching the replay can you understand every deduction, term, and logic behind my daily posts. Otherwise, we remain separated by a window paper.

The replay contains the core of the system and practical insights.

Live entry:

Multi-dimensional Dialectical Trading System Live Entry

https://www.tgb.cn/user/blog/toLiveTrends?userID=12401099
https://www.tgb.cn/user/blog/toLiveTrends?userID=12401099

Building a trading system: Recognition chapter: https://www.tgb.cn/a/2pMQlPIrNs4
The birth of the multi-dimensional dialectical trading system! https://www.tgb.cn/a/2nlzMo6HJoF
Stock traders in 2026 should no longer be caught in anxiety but start awakening! https://www.tgb.cn/a/2ojmrq1owjy
Must-see content for every stock trader’s learning journey! https://www.tgb.cn/a/2oQtBhtdtfF
Ten years of ups and downs: from deep pits to system—an old investor’s honest words https://www.tgb.cn/a/2oF6UR61EJ7
Cycle analysis of the connection between leading stocks! https://www.tgb.cn/a/2mMHipET0Xx
Market monitoring, sentiment cycle turning points, high suppression teaching post https://www.tgb.cn/a/2mpMol1Qae3
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Thanks to all brothers supporting me with so many posts today. Wishing you success in the stock market!

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In trading, first look at the macro view: volume, cycle, sentiment—use the three-dimensional resonance to avoid setbacks and lock in profits.

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Every interaction you have adds to this field; high-quality discussions in comments are the most genuine proof of our mutual evolution. Double thanks: one for support, one for resonance.

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