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One address spent $130,000 betting that Netanyahu will not step down as Prime Minister of Israel before the end of March
CoinWorld News, according to Odaily Seer, monitoring shows that a certain address has spent $131,050 betting “NO” on the event “Netanyahu will step down as Israeli Prime Minister before the end of March,” with an opening price of 96¢. Currently, the probability of the “YES” outcome for this event has dropped to 5%. The probabilities for “Netanyahu will step down as Israeli Prime Minister before the end of June” and “before the end of December” have also continuously decreased, now at 18% and 43%, respectively. The total trading volume for this event has reached $32.89 million. Earlier this month, due to geopolitical conflicts and expectations of Benjamin Netanyahu’s corruption trial, the market overestimated his short-term resignation probability to above 70%. However, with the ruling coalition and wartime stability constraints, his short-term resignation outlook has been almost dismissed by the market, and the event’s probability has continued to decline over recent days. Odaily Seer continues to monitor and predict market changes, seeing shifts before they are priced in.