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UBS: The lag effect causes tonight's inflation to be moderate.
Odaily Planet Daily reports that UBS Group Chief Economist Paul Donovan stated that the U.S. Consumer Price Index data for February, although released before recent market turbulence, remains crucial for Federal Reserve policy making. He expects the underlying inflation pressures reflected in today’s data to be moderate and believes the Fed should only respond to broad price increases. Donovan emphasized that the Federal Reserve lacks policy tools to address isolated market disturbances. He also noted that the nearly 27% increase in gasoline prices from January’s low will not be reflected in today’s data, but consumers will notice the surge in some grocery item prices. (Jin10)