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Betting $9,500 on the Israel sector with a 78% win rate that the Iranian regime will not fall in June
CryptoWorld News reports that, according to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, within the past 24 hours, an address with an 78% win rate in the Israel sector bet $9,500 that “the Iranian regime will not fall in June,” with an opening average price of 77¢, currently at 77.5¢. Since the outbreak of joint warfare on February 28, precise Israeli and U.S. military strikes have resulted in the death of Iran’s 37-year-long supreme leader Ali Khamenei, as well as several senior commanders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and high-ranking military officials. Iran experts’ meetings recently officially announced that Khamenei’s second son, 56-year-old Mujeh Tabataba’i, will succeed as the third-generation supreme leader. Previously, during intensive bombings targeting underground air defense bunkers of the leader, Israeli media widely reported rumors that Mujeh Tabataba’i had been killed or seriously injured. Although he has now been officially announced as the successor, he has not appeared in public since the war began. Mujeh Tabataba’i, a longtime behind-the-scenes “butler,” is deeply linked with the heavily armed Revolutionary Guard. Even after extreme decapitation strikes, Iran’s vast security machinery and established power transfer network continue to force the system to operate. Note: Based on his past trading profile, this trader is not betting on whether the event will actually happen; there are behaviors of taking profits or cutting losses at certain poi