[Red Envelope] Yuanbao Massage, the resilient and persistent Steel Seven in a row

The market is ruthless, but Yuanbao has feelings. There are 300 red envelopes; everyone can like and claim them. You can take the envelope and leave, but don’t foolishly leave 666; [Taogu Ba]

Keep an eye on the market movements in real-time, make early strategic moves to determine wins or losses. Luck is unreliable; gamblers won’t go far.

Use analysis to determine direction, discipline to secure profits. Like and then watch. The stock market will keep earning, wishing all brothers daily success in the market and a prosperous life!

Today’s market joke is a bit funny. Although we can’t fall during the first day of the holiday, we can fall during the Lantern Festival. That’s called avoiding the first day but not the fifteenth.

Big A netizens are still talented. Let me share one:

The upper line is “Yi Oil dances, whipping horses and charging to the sky”; the lower line is “Screaming painfully, tearing hearts apart, celebrating Lantern Festival,” with the horizontal inscription: “Yi hits me, I fall!”

In two days, the median is down 6%. The actual situation on the other side is unclear, but most of our accounts are definitely down 6%. The number of red stocks is 549. The last time it was this bad, we have to go back to the previous crash.

After the morning auction ended, Intercontinental Oil & Gas closed at 41.34 with a strong order block (yesterday 2.658 billion), and the advantage of the opening position was high.

The stronger the sector performs during the day, the less surprising it is. Currently, crude oil LOF premiums are between 37% and 43%. Short-term fluctuations over 1-2 days will be more intense. Refer to the previous silver LOF: on January 29, silver’s premium was about 60%. Using today’s net value for projection, crude oil might continue to hit the daily limit with a premium reaching 51%-57%.

The more appealing sector downward is gas, but most of the funds here are speculative, caught in a gap. Because the top oil & gas stocks are hard to enter, the anchoring for gas is simple: continue strengthening Water Development Gas with an advantage in position. Note that today’s highest order amount was 521 million, followed by the first board of gas today, which may hit a few one-word or two-board trades. Personally, it’s a bit difficult due to sentiment and interpretation being suppressed. Yesterday, oil & gas opened with seven or eight one-word stocks, but gas today is sparse.

In tech, if I’m not mistaken, the only seed stock is Huasheng Chang… It’s also a bumpy ride today, and tomorrow’s attitude will be crucial.

Huasheng is cautiously holding the 5-day moving average. Tuowei once had funds sparking interest, seemingly trying to boost Taijia, but ultimately failed. Including Runze in the morning, all showed attitude. Plus, the broken board of Fenghuo leaves market suspense for tomorrow.

Key points about the fight:

Fourth, fighting isn’t scary; what’s scary is endless fighting. Both sides don’t want to keep consuming, no one can afford it. We investors also can’t sustain it. After years of bear markets, the confidence that finally emerged can be knocked down. So, who bears the blame? Don’t forget the fundamental logic: our real economy isn’t xx! If their fight causes major changes in fundamentals, and we respond slowly or implement policies late, it will be too late. I believe no one wants to see this situation.

Fifth, diminishing returns. Do you think the Russia-Ukraine conflict is over? It’s not finished yet. In fact, it’s still in high consumption. It’s been five years already. How many five-year periods are there in life? Five years ago, I could run ten kilometers without gasping. Now I’m fat, and running three kilometers is hard.

Back to the market: in the afternoon, after the index broke below last Thursday’s low, it triggered a concentrated sell-off with increased volume, accompanied by various technical divergences, indicating panic selling. Naturally, volume increased.

Objectively, this adjustment period may be prolonged, and there might be a rally in some resource stocks, but such sectors are heavily influenced by external news. Oil-related stocks may still be small metal stocks catching up. Small metals are leading the decline on the sector gain list, so oil may not go far, possibly just joining rotation later.

Without a main theme, the first to fall will be the first to rebound. Once risk aversion cools, funds are likely to return to logical tech sectors. Currently, focus on one direction and stay committed. Don’t switch back and forth. If you’re doing short-term trading, I don’t believe you’re still holding heavy positions today. That’s reckless. Either you’re a short-term trader, or you should adopt a long-term perspective!

Thanks to the eight active funds for their strong support, making this post a quality piece. @Shunshi Weiwang1986 @imuyichao @ImpossibleName @Modu @Wushia @MaifeiWangLaoTou @ChenYoudi @BuylessNoWords

Main post tips: @ZhuifengAimi @Modu @ghx0228 @GuguChen @lclx @BaopiZi @AdrianSouth @ThirdDimension @Qianyuanli @Wushia @MeetMyselfltt @Pinxi @HurryUpAndReadHardships @XuZhichunLai @Shuitang @ShenAogudu @Kalen007 @BaiGeWangZz @MoshangHuakaiV @ErXiaoQiNiu @HaiyanWater

In this market environment, those who still support and tip me, everything speaks for itself. Everyone knows what kind of person Yuanbao is deep down.

That’s all. Damn!