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Two Pioneers of Prediction Markets
Prediction markets are platforms where you can trade "yes/no" based contracts on the outcomes of real-world events. These markets can offer more accurate probability predictions than traditional surveys by reflecting collective intelligence in prices. As of 2026, the two most prominent platforms in the US are Kalshi and Polymarket. Although both operate under CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) regulation, they have significant differences in their structures, focuses, and user experiences.
What is Kalshi?
Kalshi is a prediction market founded in 2018
USDC0.02%
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User_anyvip
#NasdaqEntersPredictionMarkets
Nasdaq has officially entered the realm of prediction markets. Through an application to the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), it plans to offer binary options linked to the Nasdaq-100 index and the Nasdaq-100 Micro index. These products, called "Outcome Related Options," are priced between $0.01 and $1. Investors will be able to bet on whether a specific event will occur, taking a "yes" or "no" position. The contracts will be valued to reflect the market's probability of the outcome occurring and will be cash-settled. Nasdaq's move represents the entry of one of Wall Street's biggest players into the rapidly growing prediction markets sector. While platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket previously offered similar products under CFTC regulation, Nasdaq is now operating under SEC framework. This situation also brings the debate over the division of authority between regulators back to the forefront. The application was submitted on March 2, 2026, and if approved, it would mark Nasdaq's first foray into prediction markets. The company aims to offer investors a simple and direct tool for speculating on index movements with these products. Market participants expect a more accessible and cost-effective structure compared to traditional options. Prediction markets have been gaining attention since 2025, particularly with event-based betting. Nasdaq's entry is seen as a strong indication that this trend will become more integrated into mainstream financial markets. The approval process will be closely monitored in the coming period.
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As geopolitical tensions rise between the U.S. and Iran, gold, oil, and silver surge—yet Bitcoin stages a V-shaped rebound above $70K. Is its safe-haven status finally being recognized?
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GateUser-5c8ef125vip:
Just go for it!
JUST IN: CFTC Chairman Mike Selig confirmed during a public appearance at the Milken Institute that the agency is working to launch "real future professionals" on American soil within about a month.
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EGY
EGY
Egypt
gatefun
Created By@gatefunuser_b098
Listing Progress
100.00%
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Red January.
Red February.
Now look at March history. 👀
#Bitcoin $BTC
BTC-1.78%
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$ADA strong green candle + volume surge, bouncing hard off MA99 support with price reclaiming above recent lows toward MA7/MA25.
Entry Zone: 0.265 – 0.270
Targets: TP1 0.280 | TP2 0.290 | TP3 0.305
Stop Loss: 0.258
ADA-6.98%
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Major index performance since futures opened on Sunday.
Getting flashbacks of bitcoin’s strength on Liberation Day last year.
BTC-1.78%
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Blockwisevip:
useful information
$POWER lost 4,000 RMB. Accept it. ‼️ Trash
POWER-89.67%
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GateUser-0d0e7d7cvip:
All the 35x longs haven't even seen a slight rebound.
Some of my best trades i have executed publicly .
Rate them out of 10 .. 👇
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#GateLanternFestivalRedPacketGiveaway 3.3 Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bitcoin is exerting extreme pressure at the 70,000 level, with a battle between triangle and WXY structures. Ethereum is also facing a four-hour resistance level test (Bitcoin contract trading) Commander
BTC-1.78%
ETH-3.52%
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$TSM
It broke down through the red neckline and formed a small double top. It could make a short correction
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what's the coolest thing you've vibe coded with claude code or codex?
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Brothers, the fastest single coin is 1 million
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It\'s a cat.
It\'s a cat.
Hotcat Cathot
gatekol
Created By@WolfCoyoty
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BTC $BTC ‌QUIETLY BUILDS POWER
38.8 percent of altcoins are trading near their All Time Lows, a breadth reading that historically prints only during maximum capitulation events. This is not random underperformance, this is systemic liquidation across the market where liquidity is drained, weak balance sheets collapse, and forced sellers dominate order flow.
BTC-1.78%
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Europe's gas headache just got worse: Storage at ~20% + Iran strike spikes futures +20% overnight
Geopolitical energy risks mounting. Time for sovereign alternatives?
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$ETH next trade set up
Looks like we got a little rejection now and now we're forming a symmetric triangle.
My bias is still long due to the severe oversold from previous week and the current 4hr green dot. We are also printing a green dot on the Daily and very close to a Weekly green dot.
A break of the triangle and 2100 resistance will give us acceptance to the fair value range above. The target will then be the POC then VAH.
Here's the plan:
- wait for a break and retest of the triangle
- enter on break of triangle then add more on confirmed retest
- add more on break of 2100 and confirmed
ETH-3.52%
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🇺🇸👀 President Trump has ordered the US Navy to escort oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz if necessary to ensure the "free flow of energy."
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#crypto
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$TA Signal】Long - 1H pullback confirmation, main force clearly intends to support the price
$TA The 1H timeframe has experienced a massive rally and is now undergoing a healthy pullback. The price is consolidating strongly in the 0.046-0.047 range, refusing to deepen the correction. The 4H timeframe has formed a clear upward trend, with the price staying above all key moving averages, which is a typical characteristic of a strong coin. Currently, the 1-hour candlestick is supported above the EMA20, and buy order depth is accumulating at key price levels, indicating a strong willingness by the
TA17.44%
BTC-1.78%
ETH-3.52%
SOL-3.51%
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JUST IN: 🇺🇸 President Trump orders US Navy to escort oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz if necessary to ensure the "free flow of energy."
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After significant expansions, markets rarely continue in a straight vertical trajectory they consolidate.
Tokens like $ONE often demonstrate this reaccumulation dynamic, where price forms a horizontal range, volatility compresses, and volume normalizes. This phase becomes a negotiation zone between profit-taking participants and new entrants gradually building exposure.
Reaccumulation ranges are structurally constructive. They redistribute supply, deepen liquidity pools, and reduce excessive leverage before the next directional move develops. The longer price sustains a range without struct
TON0.86%
ONE-0.08%
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