XRP's Bear Pressure Intensifies: Key Support Levels Under Test

As of early February 2026, XRP continues to navigate a challenging technical landscape, with the cryptocurrency trading at $1.46 and bearing the hallmarks of a persistent bear market structure. The recent 24-hour rally of +9.61% has provided temporary relief, yet fundamental resistance levels and declining moving averages suggest that bullish momentum faces significant headwinds. Technical indicators and price action patterns indicate ongoing downside risk, with several critical support zones determining whether the bear trend will continue or stabilize.

USDT Pair Signals Risk of Further Drop Below $1.80

On the daily XRP/USDT chart, the current price of $1.46 sits below the major horizontal demand zone between $1.80 and $1.90, a level that has proven critical in determining short-term direction. The 100-day and 200-day moving averages both remain in a steep downward slope, a bearish signal that continues to cap upside attempts. Recent price action reflects a weakening rally dynamic—after the initial January rebound attempt, buyers have shown diminishing conviction, with RSI cooling from overbought conditions back toward neutral territory.

The technical setup suggests XRP faces a crossroads. Should the $1.80–$1.90 support floor hold firm, the possibility exists for a base-building range to form, with recapture of the $2.20–$2.40 zone representing the first meaningful threshold required for any trend reversal argument. However, breach of the $1.80 level opens the door toward further bear-driven selling pressure, potentially extending the drop toward the October capitulation lows near $1.60. If selling pressure accelerates further, the higher-timeframe demand zone between $1.20 and $1.30 could come into focus as an eventual target in an extended downtrend scenario.

BTC Pair Breakdown Reveals Deeper Bear Market Structure

Against Bitcoin, XRP faces an even more pronounced structural challenge. The XRP/BTC pair currently hovers in the 2,100–2,200 satoshi range after being rejected sharply from the 2,400 satoshi resistance band. The cluster of the 100-day and 200-day moving averages in this region has repeatedly stopped rallies, with each advance toward 2,400–2,500 sats meeting renewed selling. This pattern underscores XRP’s relative underperformance during the current cycle.

The lower support zone sits around 1,900–2,000 sats, where recent downside wicks suggest some residual demand; however, until daily closes decisively reclaim the 2,400–2,500 satoshi region and move above the key moving averages, relative weakness versus Bitcoin will likely persist. A breakdown below 1,800 sats would confirm renewed underperformance and potentially extend the bear-driven slide toward prior major demand closer to 1,500 sats—a level that would represent a substantial bear market extension.

Support Zones and Risk Scenarios for XRP’s Next Move

The bear trend’s continuation hinges on whether support levels hold as intended. Current technical alignment suggests three potential outcomes: (1) stabilization within the $1.80–$1.90 zone allowing base formation; (2) a controlled drop to the $1.60 level with eventual stabilization; or (3) an accelerated bear-driven collapse toward $1.20–$1.30 if conviction selling emerges. Each scenario carries distinct implications for both XRP/USDT and XRP/BTC pairs. Until evidence of trend reversal—such as daily closes above moving averages and establishment of higher lows—emerges, the technical backdrop favors continued bear pressure and downside vulnerability for XRP.