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, cloud infrastructure (its fastest-growing segment), and subscriptions across various platforms. This breadth provides a buffer against market disruptions and regulatory challenges that might impact a more narrowly focused competitor.
The Investor’s Dilemma: Which Stock Offers Better Long-Term Potential?
From a valuation perspective, the two companies look remarkably similar. Alphabet and Netflix trade at price-to-earnings ratios of 33 and 34, respectively, meaning investors are paying essentially the same multiple for future earnings. So the differentiation must come from assessing which company’s future earnings are more likely to exceed expectations.
Alphabet appears to have the structural advantage in this regard. Its more diversified revenue base and broad-based double-digit growth across multiple segments provide multiple pathways to outperformance. The cloud business, in particular, represents a near-term catalyst—growing much faster than the company’s overall business while simultaneously expanding its operating margins. This combination of growth and profitability expansion is the hallmark of a business hitting an inflection point.
Netflix, while an attractive business with its own compelling merits, faces a different set of considerations. The advertising business is undeniably promising, but it remains small relative to total revenue. More significantly, Netflix has a pending acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery’s media assets—including the HBO and HBO Max franchises—valued at $82.7 billion. This represents approximately 23% of Netflix’s current market capitalization and is subject to regulatory approval and other closing conditions.
Major acquisitions, while creating opportunities, also introduce significant risks. Integration challenges, regulatory hurdles, and the potential for overpayment are all real concerns. For investors seeking a best-in-class investment with minimal execution risk, this pending deal introduces a variable that Alphabet simply doesn’t have to navigate.
Making Your Decision
When comparing these two alternatives for a 10-year investment horizon, Alphabet emerges as the more compelling choice. Its greater business diversification, broad-based growth momentum, and absence of transformational acquisition risk create a more straightforward path to long-term value creation. Netflix remains a quality business with genuine growth catalysts in its advertising and international expansion initiatives, but the company’s near-term challenges are more complex.
The best investment decision ultimately depends on your risk tolerance and conviction in Netflix’s management to execute on its ambitious acquisition strategy. However, for investors seeking the most straightforward path to sustainable, diversified growth over the next decade, Alphabet presents the stronger alternative.