#美国核心物价涨幅不及市场预估 Mid to late January macro calendar, several key dates worth noting.
**January 20th (Tuesday)** The U.S. Supreme Court will announce an important ruling. The outcome regarding Trump's tariff policy is a market focus; if the ruling is delayed, it may actually strengthen expectations for the advancement of tariffs.
**January 21st (Wednesday)** A lawsuit against Federal Reserve Board member Lisa Cook will be heard. This is not just a personal case—it relates to the independence of the Federal Reserve and also directly impacts the extent of future political intervention in monetary policy.
**January 22nd (Thursday)** Two heavyweight data releases. First, the Q3 GDP final estimate; if it deviates significantly from the previous estimate, it will impact market confidence in economic growth and expectations for rate cuts. Second, the November PCE inflation data; if it continues to decline, it will bolster expectations for rate cuts.
**January 23rd (Friday)** University of Michigan Consumer Inflation Expectations and January PMI initial data. Relatively speaking, the market reaction to these two data points is less sensitive.
**The core of this week** Don’t be fooled by the data calendar; the real variables are on the political side. The two Supreme Court rulings on tariffs and Federal Reserve independence are key to determining market sentiment. The outcome could directly influence the credibility of the Federal Reserve’s policies and the overall stability expectations of the financial markets.
$BTC $ETH Trends will also be influenced by these winds.
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ser_ngmi
· 6h ago
Political variables are the real game-changer, while data has become a supporting role? This week's tug-of-war over the Fed's independence feels more exciting than the PCE data itself.
View OriginalReply0
DaoDeveloper
· 6h ago
ngl the fed independence ruling hits different than any pcr data drop... that's the real governance primitive we should be watching fr
Reply0
DeepRabbitHole
· 6h ago
Playing the political card so aggressively, but data has become the supporting role instead. This logic is a bit crazy.
View OriginalReply0
ProposalDetective
· 6h ago
Damn, political risk is back again. The market this week is probably going to get messed up.
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DeadTrades_Walking
· 6h ago
Political risks outweigh data risks; keep an eye on court actions this week.
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Once again, it's the Fed's independence that’s the issue—really absurd.
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延期关税反而增强预期?这逻辑有点魔幻。
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PCE data回落就能救市,问题是会不会真的回落嘛。
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到底是GDP冲击大还是法院裁决大,感觉都能翻盘。
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Crypto圈这周就等政治牌了,数据反而不重要了。
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如果库克诉讼案真的翻出来,美联储的日子就难过了。
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特朗普关税+美联储独立性,一周两个炸弹,$BTC 得绷紧。
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数据日历什么的都是虚的,关键看政治风向。
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有点怀疑这周会不会又是预期反转。
#美国核心物价涨幅不及市场预估 Mid to late January macro calendar, several key dates worth noting.
**January 20th (Tuesday)**
The U.S. Supreme Court will announce an important ruling. The outcome regarding Trump's tariff policy is a market focus; if the ruling is delayed, it may actually strengthen expectations for the advancement of tariffs.
**January 21st (Wednesday)**
A lawsuit against Federal Reserve Board member Lisa Cook will be heard. This is not just a personal case—it relates to the independence of the Federal Reserve and also directly impacts the extent of future political intervention in monetary policy.
**January 22nd (Thursday)**
Two heavyweight data releases. First, the Q3 GDP final estimate; if it deviates significantly from the previous estimate, it will impact market confidence in economic growth and expectations for rate cuts. Second, the November PCE inflation data; if it continues to decline, it will bolster expectations for rate cuts.
**January 23rd (Friday)**
University of Michigan Consumer Inflation Expectations and January PMI initial data. Relatively speaking, the market reaction to these two data points is less sensitive.
**The core of this week**
Don’t be fooled by the data calendar; the real variables are on the political side. The two Supreme Court rulings on tariffs and Federal Reserve independence are key to determining market sentiment. The outcome could directly influence the credibility of the Federal Reserve’s policies and the overall stability expectations of the financial markets.
$BTC $ETH Trends will also be influenced by these winds.