#数字资产市场动态 Bitcoin's current market trend hides risks—several signals you must watch out for

**History Repeats Itself**

It's clear from the candlestick charts. The last time Bitcoin hit a peak, a double-top pattern appeared, followed by a sharp crash. There was a two-month rebound, and then, after a "false breakout," it collapsed instantly. Today's trend is increasingly resembling that period. The question is, will it follow the same script this time?

**The 4-Year Cycle Rule Has Never Failed**

Bitcoin operates on consensus and cycles. Every four years, there's a new cycle. Each cycle, someone claims, "This time is different," but the market always teaches harsh lessons to those who break the rules. This isn't coincidence; it's the market's inherent logic.

**Cross-Asset Trends Reveal Clues**

The most direct warning lights are flashing—US stocks, precious metals, and A-shares are soaring, while the crypto market remains sluggish. This divergence itself signals a bearish trend. Once US stocks start to pull back, Bitcoin's decline could exceed expectations.

**How to Operate Smartly**

For those holding positions, remember: take profits at resistance levels. If a second top forms, there's still an opportunity to add short positions. My own strategy was to short $100,000 when approaching 98,000 (two orders), taking short profits at 95,000 in the short term, while holding long-term positions. No need to catch the absolute top; time will tell.

This doesn't interfere with short-term trading—at each resistance level, you can open a short position. Recently, I shorted BTC at 98,000, WLFI at 0.185, and ZEC at 450, all at key levels. This isn't luck; it's the result of experience and discipline. Opening two trades a day at these opportunities keeps trading simple and stress-free.