2026-01-16 01:51:09

#MSCI未来或纳入数字资产财库企业 January 16 Market Observation

When the market is fluctuating, we can all come up with good trading logic. But once the price approaches a breakout point, nerves start to fray—fearing missing out on the move and also fearing repeated stop-outs. When the dust settles and we look back, we often realize we overthought it and regret hesitating at the time. This is the unavoidable psychological hurdle in trading—everyone has to get through it.

After this wave of gains, the bears need to be more patient, while the bulls, although seeing clear long signals and with solid support at the bottom trendline (each pullback has a rebound), are still stuck below a key resistance level. Even with optimism about a small bull market, everything still depends on an "effective breakout." Friday will be the watershed—if the price doesn’t break the previous high before the US market opens, short-term trading will continue to be choppy.

**Technical Scan:**

Bitcoin has been oscillating between $95,000 and $98,000 over these two trading days, with obvious selling pressure above. On the hourly chart, DIF and DEA are diverging downward, and MACD is in the negative zone, indicating a strong correction signal. RSI has fallen from overbought to 52, showing short-term upward momentum is weakening. EMA7 and EMA30 are still close and slightly turning down, so the key is whether the $94,500 level can hold.

On the daily chart, although bullish momentum is waning and a death cross of indicators is possible, RSI remains around 60, indicating relative strength. EMA7/30/120 are still in a bullish alignment, and the overall framework remains intact. Short-term trading should focus on pullback longs.

**Reference Levels:**
- Long around $BTC 93,800-94,800, targeting $ETH 96,400-97,400
- Long around 3,230-3,270, targeting 3,350-3,390

BTC-2,29%

ETH-1,71%

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MetaverseHomeless

· 01-18 03:35

It's that time again where "key positions test your mentality," and I really can't hold it together. The mental hurdle is spot on; I keep thinking I've understood, but when Friday opens, I still get confused and overwhelmed. Can 94500 really hold? Feels like this wave is a bit shaky.

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ser_ngmi

· 01-16 15:32

Another day stuck at the resistance level, really exhausting. Let's wait until Friday. --- Psychological barriers are right, it's always this cycle of self-doubt. --- If 94500 can't hold, then in the short term, we really need to keep pushing. --- MSCI inclusion of digital assets needs to be truly implemented; otherwise, it's all just talk. --- The bullish signals are clear, but I'm just worried it can't break through, and we'll be cut again and again. --- Honestly, the daily chart shows a pretty stable bullish arrangement, but the short-term is just too uncomfortable. --- A death cross on the indicators is what we really need to watch out for. We're not at the worst yet. --- I've been accumulating in the 93800-94800 range, just waiting for a rebound. --- This week's market is really testing psychological resilience. Those who stay calm will profit. --- Bitcoin between 95000-98000 has been grinding for so many days, we have to choose a direction.

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WagmiOrRekt

· 01-16 14:33

It's that frustrating market again, unable to break through the resistance level is really annoying, feels like repeatedly cutting the leeks. The psychological barrier is the hardest, looking at the chart, they all seem like opportunities but are actually traps. Watching the market on Friday feels quite crucial; if it can't break through, it'll just continue to fluctuate. If 94500 can't hold, how should we play in the short term? I'm willing to try within the 93800-94800 range, but I still feel like it needs to drop a bit more to feel safe.

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AirdropLicker

· 01-16 02:21

Here we go again with this mental preparation. To be honest, I'm still afraid of taking losses. That's how I've been lately—hesitating over the trend for a long time, and in the end, I got shaken out haha. If we can't break the previous high on Friday, we'll probably have to keep grinding. Let's just consider 94,500 as the lifeline to defend for now. If there's a rebound, I'll get in.

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airdrop_huntress

· 01-16 02:20

The psychological aspect is described so perfectly. I'm always the clearest when discussing theories on paper, but once it comes to the critical point, I start to overthink. If we can't break the previous high, we'll just keep tinkering. Anyway, we'll see on Friday. Right now, lying down is better than doing anything else. Can the 94500 level really hold? It feels a bit uncertain.

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SighingCashier

· 01-16 02:17

Honestly, this psychological barrier really hits home. It's always like this—during consolidation, I'm extremely confident, but at critical points, I start to tremble, afraid of missing out or getting liquidated. 94500 is a very critical level. Whether it breaks or not, the subsequent trend will likely be quite different. If MSCI's inclusion of digital assets really materializes, I am optimistic in the long term, but for now, we still need to wait for the confirmation signals on Friday.

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GateUser-addcaaf7

· 01-16 02:12

Honestly, this psychological barrier really hits hard. Every time I think I can precisely position myself, but in the end, my mindset collapses. If we can't break the previous high on Friday, I'll just keep lying flat. Anyway, I'm already used to being tortured by volatility. If 94500 can't hold, then I really need to adjust. It feels like this rally is about to fade. MSCI inclusion of digital assets? Sounds impressive, but for now, we still need to see if BTC can break through. At most, it's just a rumor. The buy signal is right here, but I just don't dare to jump in. Isn't that stupid?

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