#DeFi生态发展 Seeing the forecast that the prediction market is about to experience explosive growth, my first reaction is not excitement, but a reminder to stay calm. The $95.5 billion scale prediction for 2035 and nearly 47% CAGR—these numbers are indeed tempting, but we need to look a bit more clearly.

This sector is rapidly moving from legal gray areas toward mainstream acceptance, with Robinhood, ICE, and mainstream media entering the space as positive signals. But precisely because of this, we need to be more cautious. Any rapidly growing new ecosystem is accompanied by concentrated risks—regulatory friction still exists, platform differences are significant, and participants vary greatly in quality.

What I want to say is: if you're curious about the prediction market, you can follow its development, but never let the growth figures cloud your judgment. Position management should always come first. No matter how promising the sector looks, you should only participate with idle funds you can afford to lose. This is not conservatism, but a responsible approach to your assets. A long-term mindset means seeing both opportunities and risks, and finding your own balance between the two. The dividends of new ecosystems are often reserved for those who dare to participate and are sufficiently cautious.