2026-01-16 00:00:34

#美国核心物价涨幅不及市场预估 January 16 Morning Market Review and Trading Ideas

Last night, Bitcoin rebounded from 95,304, but the bulls faced resistance at the 97,000 level and pulled back; Ethereum also failed to break through 3,380, stabilizing around 3,266 before repeating oscillations.

Looking at the 1-hour candlestick chart, although this rebound appeared vigorous, the upper shadow on the candles is quite prominent, indicating heavy selling pressure above. Technically, the MACD has already crossed below the signal line, showing that the bearish momentum has gained the upper hand in the short term. The Bollinger Bands are also beginning to open downward, suggesting that the downside space is opening up, and the overall market exhibits clear weakness.

Based on this assessment, here are the following ideas:

$BTC: Consider short positions in the 96,000-96,500 range, targeting around 94,500-93,600.

$ETH: Short positions can be arranged in the 3,330-3,350 range, with support below at 3,250.

$XRP and other cryptocurrencies: Pay attention to the overall market rhythm.

Market fluctuations are a process of accumulating experience; reviewing past trades helps us move forward more steadily.

BTC-3,71%

ETH-6,32%

XRP-0,67%

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BearMarketNoodler

· 01-18 23:58

Such a long upper shadow, still want more? Wake up, the sell orders are stacked up. The bearish signal is so obvious, I already have an order at 96500. MACD death cross and Bollinger Bands opening up, the decline is coming just like that. Can the 94500 line really hold? It's a bit uncertain. It's both review and experience again, but it's better to protect the principal first.

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RiddleMaster

· 01-18 18:38

With such a clear upper shadow, the bears do have a chance, but I think we need to wait at the 96,500 level. It feels like it might test 97,000 again.

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ColdWalletAnxiety

· 01-16 00:29

It's the same old story, every time they say a death cross means you should short, and what happens? Last time I analyzed it like that, I got blown up by a rebound. The market is so unpredictable that insisting on technical indicators is pointless; better to just bet on the direction after the CPI data is released. Forget it, I'll just keep averaging down, since I'm losing anyway.

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SneakyFlashloan

· 01-16 00:26

Such a long upper shadow, the bears definitely have a chance. Let's try around 96,500.

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RugPullAlertBot

· 01-16 00:22

The bearish signal is so obvious, even the upper shadow is crying. You should have run when the MACD formed a death cross.

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RugpullAlertOfficer

· 01-16 00:18

Another death cross coming, I can execute this move blindly.

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MerkleMaid

· 01-16 00:12

It's another MACD death cross, and the Bollinger Bands are opening up again. Man, this technical analysis really works... But to be honest, I'm still wary of the 96,000 short position. Yesterday's rebound momentum wasn't weak at all.

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BTCWaveRider

· 01-16 00:07

Hmm... The upper shadow is so obvious that the bears are about to take over. What should I do with this order? The death cross has appeared, so I should probably exit. I have a feeling this wave might dip again. MACD has already formed a death cross so quickly? Let's see if we can reach around 94,500. If 96,500 doesn't break, I'll try a short position. The Bollinger Bands are really opening up; this technical situation is indeed weak. By the way, will it directly break through 93,600 this time... feeling a bit anxious. Will ETH at 3,330 be a false breakout? Feels easy to get fooled. Backtesting is really useful, but it sounds easy to do, everyone.

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just_another_fish

· 01-16 00:06

Hmm... such a long upper shadow, it feels like it's going to crash again.

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