I'm currently at 0.618 position on $BEAT and have lost $150. To be honest, it hurts a bit. But the more I think about it, the more I feel that this level won't trigger a rally; instead, it’s more likely to drop around 0.45.
Many people see news of whales cutting positions or liquidations and start expecting the market makers to suddenly show mercy and give everyone a boost. But think about it—usually, the market is a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Now, suddenly at the so-called "absolute low," they’re giving us a discount? That logic doesn’t hold up. If the price really surges, how much would the longs lose? Why would those who already profit from short positions at low levels stop making money?
The short sellers are now happily making profits; it’s just a matter of more or less. If the price rises, longs will be forced to cover, and they’ll still enjoy the benefits of the price increase—what’s in it for the market makers?
The only possible scenario is an extreme move, like some coins do—ruthlessly pushing straight up, then crashing straight down, killing both longs and shorts. This scares retail investors so much that they dare not go long or short, leaving only the market makers winning.
These are just some of my thoughts on the market. No one can predict market changes accurately. Everyone should trade rationally and not be led astray by short-term fluctuations.
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ForkYouPayMe
· 4h ago
Well, your analysis still has some substance, but I think 0.45 might be overly optimistic.
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GateUser-64daf669
· 01-08 08:45
Sister, the original post I made on BN said I lost 150🔪. Do you have some misunderstanding? I am already prepared for liquidation😆.
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ZkProofPudding
· 01-08 07:49
Bro, this analysis is spot on. The bears are definitely enjoying themselves, and I also like the dip around 0.45.
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staking_gramps
· 01-08 07:49
Even 150 bucks can hurt, indicating you've really entered too much haha. But I agree with this logic; the big players have no reason to let the bears go here unless they directly squeeze both longs and shorts in one move.
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pumpamentalist
· 01-08 07:35
Sisters, I love this logic. Why should the big players act like philanthropists?
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AirdropCollector
· 01-08 07:25
Oh man, I can't hold back this logic anymore. It's too realistic. Why would the big players be kind? Everyone wants to make more money.
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MevTears
· 01-08 07:24
Based on your logic, indeed there's no reason for the air force to voluntarily give up a winning position. I agree on that point. However, isn't 0.45 too pessimistic? I feel the market makers might shake out the traders multiple times. Don't get caught off guard.
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ColdWalletGuardian
· 01-08 07:23
150 bucks is nothing, the key is whether the logic is correct. Sis, your analysis really hit the mark for me. If the bulls really want to get out of trouble, they might have to pay more, the big players' brains aren't messed up, right?
I'm currently at 0.618 position on $BEAT and have lost $150. To be honest, it hurts a bit. But the more I think about it, the more I feel that this level won't trigger a rally; instead, it’s more likely to drop around 0.45.
Many people see news of whales cutting positions or liquidations and start expecting the market makers to suddenly show mercy and give everyone a boost. But think about it—usually, the market is a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Now, suddenly at the so-called "absolute low," they’re giving us a discount? That logic doesn’t hold up. If the price really surges, how much would the longs lose? Why would those who already profit from short positions at low levels stop making money?
The short sellers are now happily making profits; it’s just a matter of more or less. If the price rises, longs will be forced to cover, and they’ll still enjoy the benefits of the price increase—what’s in it for the market makers?
The only possible scenario is an extreme move, like some coins do—ruthlessly pushing straight up, then crashing straight down, killing both longs and shorts. This scares retail investors so much that they dare not go long or short, leaving only the market makers winning.
These are just some of my thoughts on the market. No one can predict market changes accurately. Everyone should trade rationally and not be led astray by short-term fluctuations.