Recently, gold experienced a correction, and many people started to get restless, asking whether to switch to short positions or if a top has been reached. But from my perspective, this move looks more like a shakeout at high levels rather than a trend reversal.



From a technical logic standpoint, gold surged from around 4300 on January 5th straight up to near 4500, with a fast and fierce pace. It would only be problematic if it failed to adjust at this critical juncture. Currently, the price is oscillating between 4430 and 4440, which still indicates a solid footing above 4400, with a complete structure.

How did this correction come about? To put it simply, it’s not that the market suddenly turned bearish on gold, but rather a passive sell-off caused by index rebalancing. Some funds had to sell at this point in time—this is a "technical" sell-off, and the main players haven't collectively run away. You can see that every time gold is pushed near 4400, someone immediately steps in to buy, which explains the situation.

Looking at the broader support factors for gold—central banks are still buying, the Fed's rate cut expectations remain, and geopolitical tensions haven't eased. These issues can't be resolved in a day, so gold is unlikely to truly reverse its trend. I won't chase short positions below 4400.

From a technical perspective, it's simple: 4400 is the critical level—if it doesn't break, the bulls are still adjusting; above 4480-4500 is a resistance zone—if it doesn't break through, treat it as consolidation, and don't chase the highs.

The trading approach is straightforward: don't chase highs, stay calm, and wait for a pullback to re-enter. Major gold positions can be accumulated in the 4410-4420 range, with a stop-loss at 4395. First target is 4460-4480; once stabilized, aim for 4500. If 4400 really breaks, just watch quietly—don't fight it hard, wait for the next opportunity.

Honestly, the market is meant to be traded, not guessed at the top. Until key levels are broken, I remain bullish.
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GasOptimizervip
· 01-08 05:54
Just a shakeout, why panic? --- If 4400 isn't broken, it's still a bullish market. This logic makes sense. --- Every time it hits 4400, someone immediately steps in. The main players haven't run away. --- The central bank is still buying, and the Fed's rate cut expectations are still there. These won't disappear just because of adjustments. --- I think this wave is just passive selling due to fund rebalancing. No need to worry too much. --- Don't chase highs or short positions; just wait for a pullback to enter. Simple and straightforward. --- As long as the key support isn't broken, I remain bullish. Don't be shaken out. --- The market is for following, not for guessing the top. I agree with this. --- Buy in batches at 4410-4420, set stop-loss at 4395, target 4480. The logic is clear. --- The geopolitical situation isn't over, the central bank continues to buy, and gold turning bearish? Overthinking it.
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GameFiCriticvip
· 01-08 05:43
I agree with this manipulation logic, but the problem is that retail investors can't tell whether it's a shakeout or a reversal. By the time they realize, they've already cut their losses. 4400 is really a critical point; whether it breaks or not determines the future trend. I quite agree with this key level setting. The idea that index rebalancing causes a sell-off is a bit new, but the central bank's continuous buying needs to be viewed long-term. In the short term, it may not necessarily save the market. Stop messing around. Just buy small amounts in batches. Risk control is more practical than guessing tops or bottoms.
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AirdropDreamervip
· 01-08 05:41
Shake the market if you want, but don't keep asking about the top. If 4400 hasn't been broken, keep going long.
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FlashLoanLarryvip
· 01-08 05:24
lol this "technical support holding" narrative hits different when you realize it's just liquidity depth failing at round numbers... classic basis point trap for retail chasing the squeeze
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