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#密码资产动态追踪 That year I lost tens of thousands, and I was completely discouraged: I wouldn't spend more than eight yuan on noodles, staring at the screen late into the night, not wasting a single drop of instant noodle soup. The cured meats and sausages my mom sent became luxury items, and she kept reminding me over the phone not to go hungry. Who would have thought I would end up like this?
But after eight years in the crypto world, my account finally accumulated to twenty million. $BTC $ETH $SOL These old friends witnessed this turnaround.
**Recognize the setup, so you won't be harvested**
In 2018, I chased a project at a high point, which surged 40% from a low, then traded sideways for four days at a high level. I thought it was absorbing funds, but on the fifth day, it suddenly collapsed, volume spiked, and 20% was wiped out, with the principal disappearing as well. Only later did I realize: a short-term surge over 35%, sideways consolidation for 3 to 5 days at a high level, then a volume spike with a drop of over 15%—these are signals that the main players are about to run.
**Sideways movement is more deadly than a crash**
At the beginning of 2020, I held a certain coin that stayed at the top for three months. The trading volume shrank day by day, turnover rate dropped below 1.5%, and the price was more than 25% away from the 20-day moving average. I didn't take it seriously, and eventually it fell to $8. Now, whenever I see this pattern, I immediately go short.
**The true bottom speaks, using volume to tell**
During the "6.18" event in 2022, I bottom-fished a mainstream coin, thinking it was definitely the bottom of history, but the price kept falling. I spent time reviewing hundreds of bottom cases to understand the pattern: bottoms look like initial volume contraction, then three consecutive days of gentle volume increase with small positive candles gradually lifting the price. When Bitcoin dropped to $28,000 in 2023, this pattern reappeared. I went all in, and when it rose to $45,000, I sold everything. This money was enough for a down payment on a house.
**Volume is the root, position is the soul**
I always tell myself these two things: K-line charts are just appearances, volume is the essence; never go all-in, half-position is the way to go.
In 2024, when a certain altcoin surged wildly, I didn't chase greedily. Instead, I waited until its volume compared to the box period increased sixfold, and only entered when the trendline was broken. Once the key support was broken, I immediately took profits and exited. Although I only made 10 times the profit, I completely avoided the subsequent bloodbath.
There is no quick way to get rich in crypto. Surviving losses, engraving lessons into your mind, and getting out are the only ways to succeed.