Speaking of Avalanche (AVAX), it has been oscillating repeatedly at low levels recently, and many people feel there is no story or heat. But a closer look at the market logic reveals that this is actually a good medium-term rebound opportunity—key is to have patience.

**Why consider positioning now?**

From a fundamental perspective, although AVAX doesn't generate concepts every day like some eye-catching tokens, it is indeed one of the few L1 public chains used by actual institutions and enterprises. The subnet development path has also been steadily advancing, with projects launching one after another, representing a type of "no hype but no collapse." In the current environmentally conscious climate, such pragmatic projects are actually more suitable for medium-term rebound trading rather than following emotional hype.

Looking at the technical side, the price has already returned to the low range of the year, repeatedly testing around $12 but never effectively breaking below. This indicates that the bearish momentum has weakened, showing typical signs of a bottoming consolidation at low levels. Rather than still falling, it’s more like grinding time away, waiting for a rebound opportunity.

Details on capital flow are also worth noting. During the decline, trading volume has been shrinking, indicating that the selling pressure is weakening. Recently, active buying has appeared at the low levels, although there’s no significant rally yet, this "someone is catching" signal is very important. Once the market stabilizes, AVAX’s rebound potential is actually quite high.

**Operational plan**

The buy zone is set between $12.0 and $12.8, which is the bottom area of long-term oscillation and also a zone of multiple dense transactions. Stop-loss should be strictly placed at $10.9—breaking this level means the structure is completely broken, and there’s no room for wishful thinking.

Target levels are divided into two tiers: the first at $14.5 to $15.5, where partial profits can be taken; the second at $17.8 to $19.0, reserved for patient long-term holdings.

**Some practical tips**

Gradual entry is key; don’t use all your bullets at once. The stop-loss at $10.9 must be strictly enforced—there’s no room for sentiment in the market.

At the first target, it’s recommended to lock in some profits, and for the remaining position, watch the market’s mood. If BTC shows signs of breaking down again, prioritize risk control and avoid stubborn holding. After all, AVAX still follows the overall market rhythm, so it’s necessary to observe whether Bitcoin has truly stabilized.

Finally, the overall sentiment for altcoins is relatively cold right now, which actually creates a good environment for rebound trading. AVAX is not in the most crowded or most heavily sold sectors, so comparatively, the risk is more controllable.