#比特币价格走势 Seeing the moving averages converge at the 90,500 level, I have to say a few honest words. I've seen this kind of "key resistance" technical level many times before, and every time someone hyped it up—breaking through is a bullish signal, not breaking through is just a shakeout, and either way, they all seem right.

The key is not to be blinded by these pretty analyses. I used to look at candlesticks this way too, but what happened? My take profit points kept changing—from 98,000 to 96,200—and in the end, I realized I had been cut multiple times by the so-called "bullish signals."

My current advice is, instead of fixating on these moving average convergence points, ask yourself a few questions: Do you truly understand the fundamentals of this market cycle, or are you just a puppet dancing to technical signals? Those frequent adjustments to take profit levels reflect analysts' waning control over the market. Under the backdrop of improved liquidity, assets are likely to rise—this sounds comforting, but don’t forget how many "high probability" events in history have taught us harsh lessons.

The secret to surviving long on the chain is not to be fooled by a single signal, stay alert, and leave some room for maneuver. Only then can you see the next cycle.